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Related papers: Seismic analysis based on a new interval method wi…

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Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

Recent advances in the fields of robotics and automation have spurred significant interest in robust state estimation. To enable robust state estimation, several methodologies have been proposed. One such technique, which has shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

Discrete and mixed-variable optimization problems have appeared in several real-world applications. Most of the research on mixed-variable optimization considers a mixture of integer and continuous variables, and several integer handlings…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Kento Uchida , Ryoki Hamano , Masahiro Nomura , Shota Saito , Shinichi Shirakawa

The detection and rapid characterisation of earthquake parameters such as magnitude are of prime importance in seismology, particularly in applications such as Earthquake Early Warning (EEW). Traditionally, algorithms such as STA/LTA are…

Random and structured noise both affect seismic data, hiding the reflections of interest (primaries) that carry meaningful geophysical interpretation. When the structured noise is composed of multiple reflections, its adaptive cancellation…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-06-19 Mai Quyen Pham , Caroline Chaux , Laurent Duval , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

Metropolis Monte Carlo simulation is a powerful tool for studying the equilibrium properties of matter. In complex condensed-phase systems, however, it is difficult to design Monte Carlo moves with high acceptance probabilities that also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-05-27 Jerome P. Nilmeier , Gavin E. Crooks , David D. L. Minh , John D. Chodera

Recently a likelihood-based methodology has been developed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) with a view to testing and ranking seismicity models. We analyze this approach from the standpoint of possible…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-08-19 George Molchan

Bayesian model updating facilitates the calibration of analytical models based on observations and the quantification of uncertainties in model parameters such as stiffness and mass. This process significantly enhances damage assessment and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-06 Taro Yaoyama , Tatsuya Itoi , Jun Iyama

A new method for estimating structural equation models (SEM) is proposed and evaluated. In contrast to most other methods, it is based directly on the data, not on the covariance matrix of the data. The new approach is flexible enough to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Reinhard Oldenburg

Artificial intelligence has transformed the seismic community with deep learning models (DLMs) that are trained to complete specific tasks within workflows. However, there is still lack of robust evaluation frameworks for evaluating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Samuel Myren , Nidhi Parikh , Rosalyn Rael , Garrison Flynn , Dave Higdon , Emily Casleton

Extreme response assessment is important in the design and operation of engineering structures, and is a crucial part of structural risk and reliability analyses. Structures should be designed in a way that enables them to withstand the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-04 Sebastian Winter , Christian Agrell , Juan Camilo Guevara Gómez , Erik Vanem

The Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequences (ETAS) model and its variants effectively capture the space-time clustering of seismicity, setting the standard for earthquake forecasting. Accurate unbiased ETAS calibration is thus crucial. But we…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-06-23 Jiawei Li , Didier Sornette , Zhongliang Wu , Jiancang Zhuang , Changsheng Jiang

The covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES) is a powerful optimization method for continuous black-box optimization problems. Several noise-handling methods have been proposed to bring out the optimization performance of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Kento Uchida , Kenta Nishihara , Shinichi Shirakawa

The critical slip distance in rate and state model for fault friction in the study of potential earthquakes can vary wildly from micrometers to few meters depending on the length scale of the critically stressed fault. This makes it…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-07 Saumik Dana , Karthik Reddy

This paper deals with nonlinear mechanics of an elevator brake system subjected to uncertainties. A deterministic model that relates the braking force with uncertain parameters is deduced from mechanical equilibrium conditions. In order to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Piotr Wolszczak , Pawel Lonkwic , Americo Cunha , Grzegorz Litak , Szymon Molski

A massively parallel method to build large transition rate matrices from temperature accelerated molecular dynamics trajectories is presented. Bayesian Markov model analysis is used to estimate the expected residence time in the known state…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-05-30 Thomas D Swinburne , Danny Perez

Seismic tomography is a methodology to image the interior of solid or fluid media, and is often used to map properties in the subsurface of the Earth. In order to better interpret the resulting images it is important to assess imaging…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-05-20 Xin Zhang , Andrew Curtis

Testing earthquake forecasts is essential to obtain scientific information on forecasting models and sufficient credibility for societal usage. We aim at enhancing the testing phase proposed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Jonas R. Brehmer , Kristof Kraus , Tilmann Gneiting , Marcus Herrmann , Warner Marzocchi

When the exact probability distribution of input conditions cannot be obtained in practical engineering problems, interval analysis methods are often used to analyze the upper and lower bounds of output responses. Essentially, this can be…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Xuanlong Wu , Peng Zhong , Weihao Lin

To control a dynamical system it is essential to obtain an accurate estimate of the current system state based on uncertain sensor measurements and existing system knowledge. An optimization-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Simon Muntwiler , Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger