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The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to model seismic sequences and underpins Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). However, it remains challenging to assess the reliability of inverted ETAS parameters for a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-16 Mark Naylor , Francesco Serafini , Finn Lindgren , Ian Main

Until recently mass-mapping techniques for weak gravitational lensing convergence reconstruction have lacked a principled statistical framework upon which to quantify reconstruction uncertainties, without making strong assumptions of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-08 Matthew A. Price , Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra , Thomas D. Kitching

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Bilinear Matrix Inequalities (BMIs) are fundamental to control system design but are notoriously difficult to solve due to their nonconvexity. This study addresses BMI-based control optimization problems by adapting and integrating advanced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-14 Syue-Cian Lin , Wei-Yu Chiu , Chien-Feng Wu

We present a framework that enables estimation of low-dimensional sub-resolution reservoir properties directly from seismic data, without requiring the solution of a high dimensional seismic inverse problem. Our workflow is based on the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-15 Anshuman Pradhan , Tapan Mukerji

The structure uncertainty optimization problem is usually treated as double-loop optimization process, which is computation-intensive. In this paper, an efficient interval uncertainty optimization approach based on Quasi-sparse response…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Kefeng Wang , Pu Li , Yanfeng Zhang , Yunbao Huang

For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-18 Aurore Laurendeau , Fabrice Cotton , Luis Fabian Bonilla

This work provides an efficient sampling method for the covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES) in large-scale settings. In contract to the Gaussian sampling in CMA-ES, the proposed method generates mutation vectors from a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Xiaoyu He , Zibin Zheng , Yuren Zhou

In meteorology, engineering and computer sciences, data assimilation is routinely employed as the optimal way to combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts,…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-08-12 M. J. Werner , K. Ide , D. Sornette

Geostatistical seismic inversion is commonly used to infer the spatial distribution of the subsurface petro-elastic properties by perturbing the model parameter space through iterative stochastic sequential simulations/co-simulations. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-19 Leonardo Azevedo , Vasily Demyanov

The authors propose a methodology to perform seismic damage assessment of instrumented wood-frame buildings using response measurements. The proposed methodology employs a nonlinear model-based state observer that combines sparse…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Milad Roohi , Eric M. Hernandez , David Rosowsky

Cell-Free Massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems are investigated with the support of a reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS). The RIS phase shifts are designed for improved channel estimation in the presence of spatial…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Trinh Van Chien , Nguyen Hoang Viet , Symeon Chatzinotas , Lajos Hanzo

We analyze the recent Multi-index Stochastic Collocation (MISC) method for computing statistics of the solution of a partial differential equation (PDEs) with random data, where the random coefficient is parametrized by means of a countable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Lorenzo Tamellini , Raul Tempone

The safety and resilience of civil infrastructure systems are increasingly threatened by compounded risks from various hazard events and structural deterioration due to environmental stressors. This study presents a comprehensive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Sudhir P. Jodha , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

As one of data-driven approaches to computational mechanics in elasticity, this paper presents a method finding a bound for structural response, taking uncertainty in a material data set into account. For construction of an uncertainty set,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-13 Yoshihiro Kanno

We propose a novel model agnostic data-driven reliability analysis framework for time-dependent reliability analysis. The proposed approach -- referred to as MAntRA -- combines interpretable machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and…

We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. This setting is ubiquitous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Kody J. H. Law , Neil Walton , Shangda Yang , Ajay Jasra

Estimates of seismic wave speeds in the Earth (seismic velocity models) are key input parameters to earthquake simulations for ground motion prediction. Owing to the non-uniqueness of the seismic inverse problem, typically many velocity…

A seismic fragility curve expresses the probability of failure of a structure conditional to an intensity measure (IM) derived from seismic signals. When only limited data is available, the practitioner often refers to the probit-lognormal…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-17 Antoine Van Biesbroeck , Clément Gauchy , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

Near real-time damage diagnosis of building structures after extreme events (e.g., earthquakes) is of great importance in structural health monitoring. Unlike conventional methods that are usually time-consuming and require human expertise,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-25 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang