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We are interested in enabling autonomous agents to learn and reason about systems with hidden states, such as locking mechanisms. We cast this problem as learning the parameters of a discrete Partially Observable Markov Decision Process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Seiji Shaw , Travis Manderson , Chad Kessens , Nicholas Roy

In this paper, we consider the problem of controlling a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) in order to actively estimate its state trajectory over a fixed horizon with minimal uncertainty. We pose a novel active smoothing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Timothy L. Molloy , Girish N. Nair

Multimodal misinformation poses an escalating challenge that often evades traditional detectors, which are opaque black boxes and fragile against new manipulation tactics. We present Probabilistic Concept Graph Reasoning (PCGR), an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Ruichao Yang , Wei Gao , Xiaobin Zhu , Jing Ma , Hongzhan Lin , Ziyang Luo , Bo-Wen Zhang , Xu-Cheng Yin

In this paper, a multi-state diagnosis and prognosis (MDP) framework is proposed for tool condition monitoring via a deep belief network based multi-state approach (DBNMS). For fault diagnosis, a cost-sensitive deep belief network (namely…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-02 Chong Zhang , Geok Soon Hong , Jun-Hong Zhou , Kay Chen Tan , Haizhou Li , Huan Xu , Jihoon Hong , Hian-Leng Chan

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) form an attractive and principled framework for agent planning under uncertainty. Point-based approximate techniques for POMDPs compute a policy based on a finite set of points…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-13 M. T. J. Spaan , N. Vlassis

Many real-world decision-making problems face the off-dynamics challenge: the agent learns a policy in a source domain and deploys it in a target domain with different state transitions. The distributionally robust Markov decision process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Zhishuai Liu , Pan Xu

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a standard model for sequential decision-making problems and are widely used across many scientific areas, including formal methods and artificial intelligence (AI). MDPs do, however, come with the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Marnix Suilen , Thom Badings , Eline M. Bovy , David Parker , Nils Jansen

Planning under partial obervability is essential for autonomous robots. A principled way to address such planning problems is the Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). Although solving POMDPs is computationally intractable,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Marcus Hoerger , Hanna Kurniawati

In recent years several learning approaches to point goal navigation in previously unseen environments have been proposed. They vary in the representations of the environments, problem decomposition, and experimental evaluation. In this…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yimeng Li , Arnab Debnath , Gregory J. Stein , Jana Kosecka

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) offer a principled formalism for planning under state and transition uncertainty. Despite advances made towards solving large POMDPs, obtaining performant policies under limited…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Zakariya Laouar , Qi Heng Ho , Zachary Sunberg

We propose a deep generative Markov State Model (DeepGenMSM) learning framework for inference of metastable dynamical systems and prediction of trajectories. After unsupervised training on time series data, the model contains (i) a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-14 Hao Wu , Andreas Mardt , Luca Pasquali , Frank Noe

Planning and learning in Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs) are among the most challenging tasks in both the AI and Operation Research communities. Although solutions to these problems are intractable in general, there might be special…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Eyal Even-Dar , Sham M. Kakade , Yishay Mansour

In real-world scenarios, the observation data for reinforcement learning with continuous control is commonly noisy and part of it may be dynamically missing over time, which violates the assumption of many current methods developed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Yuhui Wang , Hao He , Xiaoyang Tan

Mixed observable Markov decision processes (MOMDPs) are a modeling framework for autonomous systems described by both fully and partially observable states. In this work, we study the problem of synthesizing a control policy for MOMDPs that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-03 Ugo Rosolia , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

We propose Deep Residual Mixture Models (DRMMs), a novel deep generative model architecture. Compared to other deep models, DRMMs allow more flexible conditional sampling: The model can be trained once with all variables, and then used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Perttu Hämäläinen , Martin Trapp , Tuure Saloheimo , Arno Solin

Recent works have studied *state entropy maximization* in reinforcement learning, in which the agent's objective is to learn a policy inducing high entropy over states visitation (Hazan et al., 2019). They typically assume full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Riccardo Zamboni , Duilio Cirino , Marcello Restelli , Mirco Mutti

Here, we explore the problem of error propagation mitigation in modular digital twins as a sequential decision process. Building on a companion study that used a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to infer latent error regimes from surrogate-physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Annice Najafi , Shokoufeh Mirzaei

Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) have been used to formulate many decision-making problems in science and engineering. The objective is to synthesize the best decision (action selection) policies to maximize expected rewards (or minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Mahmoud El Chamie , Behcet Acikmese

In this paper, we propose a policy gradient method for confounded partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with continuous state and observation spaces in the offline setting. We first establish a novel identification result…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Mao Hong , Zhengling Qi , Yanxun Xu

The general sequential decision-making problem, which includes Markov decision processes (MDPs) and partially observable MDPs (POMDPs) as special cases, aims at maximizing a cumulative reward by making a sequence of decisions based on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Ruiquan Huang , Yingbin Liang , Jing Yang