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Accurate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices is critical for market participants to inform trading decisions. Existing studies rely on specific domain features, such as Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and the last…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Runyao Yu , Ruochen Wu , Yongsheng Han , Jochen L. Cremer

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar

Financial forecasting plays an important role in making informed decisions for financial stakeholders, specifically in the stock exchange market. In a traditional setting, investors commonly rely on the equity research department for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-23 Sahar Arshad , Seemab Latif , Ahmad Salman , Rabia Latif

Stock prices are highly volatile and sudden changes in trends are often very problematic for traditional forecasting models to handle. The standard Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks are regarded as the state-of-the-art models for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Debasrita Chakraborty , Susmita Ghosh , Ashish Ghosh

Making consistently profitable financial decisions in a continuously evolving and volatile stock market has always been a difficult task. Professionals from different disciplines have developed foundational theories to anticipate price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruoyu Guo , Haochen Qiu , Xuelun Hou

The importance of predicting stock market prices cannot be overstated. It is a pivotal task for investors and financial institutions as it enables them to make informed investment decisions, manage risks, and ensure the stability of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-02 Aayush Shah , Mann Doshi , Meet Parekh , Nirmit Deliwala , Pramila M. Chawan

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

Errors or failures in a high-volume manufacturing environment can have significant impact that can result in both the loss of time and money. Identifying such failures early has been a top priority for manufacturing industries and various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Siddarth Reddy Karuka , Abhinav Sunderrajan , Zheng Zheng , Yong Woon Tiean , Ganesh Nagappan , Allan Luk

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time $t$, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time $t-1$ to its own trading volume at its last trade.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-03 F. Ren , B. Zheng , P. Chen

We provide an explicit characterization of the optimal market making strategy in a discrete-time Limit Order Book (LOB). In our model, the number of filled orders during each period depends linearly on the distance between the fundamental…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Agostino Capponi , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

The stock market presents a challenging environment for accurately predicting future stock prices due to its intricate and ever-changing nature. However, the utilization of advanced methodologies can significantly enhance the precision of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-02 Luigi Catello , Ludovica Ruggiero , Lucia Schiavone , Mario Valentino

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

The present paper proposes a new framework for describing the stock price dynamics. In the traditional geometric Brownian motion model and its variants, volatility plays a vital role. The modern studies of asset pricing expand around…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Ben Duan , Yutian Li , Dawei Lu , Yang Lu , Ran Zhang