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In this paper we discuss new types of differential equations which we call anticipated backward stochastic differential equations (anticipated BSDEs). In these equations the generator includes not only the values of solutions of the present…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-30 Shige Peng , Zhe Yang

We examine the sensitivity properties of backward stochastic differential equations and reflected backward stochastic differential equations, which naturally arise in the context of optimal control and optimal stopping problems. Motivated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Compoint Arthur , Sauldubois Nathan , Touzi Nizar

Starting from the requirement that risk measures of financial portfolios should be based on their losses, not their gains, we define the notion of loss-based risk measure and study the properties of this class of risk measures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-26 Rama Cont , Romain Deguest , Xuedong He

Earlier we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

Comparable to the traditional notion of stability in system dynamics, resilience is typically measured in a way that assesses the quality of a system's response, for example the speed of its recovery. We present a broadly applicable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-26 Samuel Bien , Paul Schultz , Jobst Heitzig , Jonathan F. Donges

Classical measures of structural reliability, such as the probability of failure and the related reliability index, are still widely applied in practice. However, these measures are frequency-based only, and they do not give information…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Moussa Leblouba , Samer Barakat , Raghad Awad

Prediction of post-loan default is an important task in credit risk management, and can be addressed by detection of financial anomalies using machine learning. This study introduces a ResE-BiLSTM model, using a sliding window technique,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yue Yang , Yuxiang Lin , Ying Zhang , Zihan Su , Chang Chuan Goh , Tangtangfang Fang , Anthony Graham Bellotti , Boon Giin Lee

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

In this paper, we derive a representation for the value process associated to the solutions of FBSDEs in a jump-diffusion setting under multiple probability measures. Motivated by concrete financial problems, the latter representations are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Luca Di Persio , Alessandro Gnoatto , Marco Patacca

In this paper, we introduce a new type of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) with infinite anticipation, where the generator depends on the entire future values of the solution in infinite horizon. We show that the new BSDEs…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Guanwei Cheng , Shuzhen Yang

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

The purpose of this paper is to describe and extend the use of the newly-introduced measure, residual estimation risk. Following the seminal work of Bignozzi and Tsanakas, the quantification of residual estimation risk is proposed in a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 D. J. Manuge

In this paper, we study a multidimensional backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) with an additional rough drift (rough BSDE), and give the existence and uniqueness of the adapted solution, either when the terminal value and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Jiahao Liang , Shanjian Tang

In this paper, we study reflected backward stochastic difference equations (RBSDEs for short) with finitely many states in discrete time. The general existence and uniqueness result, as well as comparison theorems for the solutions, are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-03 Lifen An , Samuel N. Cohen , Shaolin Ji

Due to the variety of corporate risks in turmoil markets and the consequent financial distress especially in COVID-19 time, this paper investigates corporate resilience and compares different types of resilience that can be potential…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-26 Elham Daadmehr

We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-30 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

In theoretical studies, the most commonly used measure of ecological stability is resilience: ecosystems asymptotic rate of return to equilibrium after a pulse-perturbation $-$or shock. A complementary notion of growing popularity is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-27 Jean-François Arnoldi , Michel Loreau , Bart Haegeman

Despite the significant advances in deep learning over the past decade, a major challenge that limits the wide-spread adoption of deep learning has been their fragility to adversarial attacks. This sensitivity to making erroneous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Hossein Aboutalebi , Mohammad Javad Shafiee , Michelle Karg , Christian Scharfenberger , Alexander Wong

In this paper, we consider a risk-averse decision problem for controlled-diffusion processes, with dynamic risk measures, in which multiple risk-averse agents choose their decisions in such a way to minimize their individual accumulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Getachew K. Befekadu , Eduardo L. Pasiliao

This paper deals with shape optimization for elastic materials under stochastic loads. It transfers the paradigm of stochastic dominance, which allows for flexible risk aversion via comparison with benchmark random variables, from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Rüdiger Schultz , Sascha Tölkes