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Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Anomaly Detection in multivariate time series is a major problem in many fields. Due to their nature, anomalies sparsely occur in real data, thus making the task of anomaly detection a challenging problem for classification algorithms to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Anastasios Iliopoulos , John Violos , Christos Diou , Iraklis Varlamis

The evolve-filter (EF) model is a filter-based numerical stabilization for under-resolved convection-dominated flows. EF is a simple, modular, and effective strategy for both full-order models (FOMs) and reduced-order models (ROMs). It is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Maria Strazzullo , Francesco Ballarin , Traian Iliescu , Tomás Chacón Rebollo

Particle based optimization algorithms have recently been developed as sampling methods that iteratively update a set of particles to approximate a target distribution. In particular Stein variational gradient descent has gained attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Francesco D'Angelo , Vincent Fortuin

We present a pseudo-reversible normalizing flow method for efficiently generating samples of the state of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) with different initial distributions. The primary objective is to construct an accurate and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Minglei Yang , Pengjun Wang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

This proposed work introduces a data-assimilation-assisted approach to train neural networks, aimed at effectively reducing epistemic uncertainty in state estimates of separated flows. This method, referred to as model-consistent training,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-02 Minghan Chu

Inference-time steering enables pretrained diffusion/flow models to be adapted to new tasks without retraining. A widely used approach is the ratio-of-densities method, which defines a time-indexed target path by reweighting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Ziseok Lee , Minyeong Hwang , Sanghyun Jo , Wooyeol Lee , Jihyung Ko , Young Bin Park , Jae-Mun Choi , Eunho Yang , Kyungsu Kim

We present a framework for learning probability distributions on topologically non-trivial manifolds, utilizing normalizing flows. Current methods focus on manifolds that are homeomorphic to Euclidean space, enforce strong structural priors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Dimitris Kalatzis , Johan Ziruo Ye , Alison Pouplin , Jesper Wohlert , Søren Hauberg

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

Test-time adaptation aims to adapt to realistic environments in an online manner by learning during test time. Entropy minimization has emerged as a principal strategy for test-time adaptation due to its efficiency and adaptability.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jisu Han , Jaemin Na , Wonjun Hwang

In this work we propose a one-class self-supervised method for anomaly segmentation in images that benefits both from a modern machine learning approach and a more classic statistical detection theory. The method consists of four phases.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Matías Tailanian , Álvaro Pardo , Pablo Musé

Accelerated magnetic resonance (MR) imaging attempts to reduce acquisition time by collecting data below the Nyquist rate. As an ill-posed inverse problem, many plausible solutions exist, yet the majority of deep learning approaches…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-05 Jeffrey Wen , Rizwan Ahmad , Philip Schniter

Global pandemics, such as the recent COVID-19 crisis, highlight the need for stochastic epidemic models that can capture the randomness inherent in the spread of disease. Such models must be accompanied by methods for estimating parameters…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-13 Vincent Wieland , Nils Wassmuth , Lorenzo Contento , Martin Kühn , Jan Hasenauer

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Solving systems of Boolean equations is a fundamental task in symbolic computation and algebraic cryptanalysis, with wide-ranging applications in cryptography, coding theory, and formal verification. Among existing approaches, the Boolean…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Minzhong Luo , Yudong Sun , Yin Long

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

A common technique to reduce model bias in time-series forecasting is to use an ensemble of predictive models and pool their output into an ensemble forecast. In cases where each predictive model has different biases, however, it is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Dhruvit Patel , Alexander Wikner

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) synthesizes weighted samples from an intractable distribution given its unnormalized density function. This algorithm relies on a sequence of interpolating distributions bridging the target to an initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Shirin Goshtasbpour , Victor Cohen , Fernando Perez-Cruz

We develop a modular approach to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for unnormalized target densities. In this approach, Markov chains are constructed in parallel, each constrained to a subset of the target space. The Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-05 Joonha Park

By chaining a sequence of differentiable invertible transformations, normalizing flows (NF) provide an expressive method of posterior approximation, exact density evaluation, and sampling. The trend in normalizing flow literature has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Robert Giaquinto , Arindam Banerjee
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