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We propose a new semi-parametric distributional regression smoother that is based on a copula decomposition of the joint distribution of the vector of response values. The copula is high-dimensional and constructed by inversion of a pseudo…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Parameter learning for high-dimensional, partially observed, and nonlinear stochastic processes is a methodological challenge. Spatiotemporal disease transmission systems provide examples of such processes giving rise to open inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-05 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

When modeling the distribution of a multivariate continuous random vector using the so-called \emph{copula approach}, it is not uncommon to have ties in the coordinate samples of the available data because of rounding or lack of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-07 Ivan Kojadinovic

Data assimilation (DA) integrates numerical model forecasts with observations to achieve the optimal state estimation. Ensemble-based methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), are widely used for state estimation for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Zhou Yao , Zhilin Li , Li Zhao , Zeng Liu , Zhaokuan Lu , Seungnam Kim , Guangyao Wang

Important objectives in cancer research are the prediction of a patient's risk based on molecular measurements such as gene expression data and the identification of new prognostic biomarkers (e.g. genes). In clinical practice, this is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-17 Katrin Madjar , Manuela Zucknick , Katja Ickstadt , Jörg Rahnenführer

We propose a likelihood ratio based inferential framework for high dimensional semiparametric generalized linear models. This framework addresses a variety of challenging problems in high dimensional data analysis, including incomplete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-24 Yang Ning , Tianqi Zhao , Han Liu

Among the variety of statistical intervals, highest-density regions (HDRs) stand out for their ability to effectively summarize a distribution or sample, unveiling its distinctive and salient features. An HDR represents the minimum size set…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Nina Deliu , Brunero Liseo

Analyzing time series in the frequency domain enables the development of powerful tools for investigating the second-order characteristics of multivariate processes. Parameters like the spectral density matrix and its inverse, the coherence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

We develop the notion of a "filtered cospan" as an algebraic object that stands in the same relation to interlevel persistence modules as filtered chain complexes stand with respect to sublevel persistence modules. This relation is…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Michael Usher

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

We propose a copula based method to handle missing values in multivariate data of mixed types in multilevel data sets. Building upon the extended rank likelihood of \cite{hoff2007extending} and the multinomial probit model, our model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Jiali Wang , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld , Alan H. Welsh

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

We propose parametric copulas that capture serial dependence in stationary heteroskedastic time series. We develop our copula for first order Markov series, and extend it to higher orders and multivariate series. We derive the copula of a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-26 Rubén Loaiza-Maya , Michael S. Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

Kernel Adaptive Filtering (KAF) are mathematically principled methods which search for a function in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. While they work well for tasks such as time series prediction and system identification they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Benjamin Colburn , Jose C. Principe , Luis G. Sanchez Giraldo

Kernel embeddings have emerged as a powerful tool for representing probability measures in a variety of statistical inference problems. By mapping probability measures into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), kernel embeddings enable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Dino Sejdinovic

A useful method for representing Bayesian classifiers is through \emph{discriminant functions}. Here, using copula functions, we propose a new model for discriminants. This model provides a rich and generalized class of decision boundaries.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Saket Sathe

The conditional copula model arises when the dependence between random variables is influenced by another covariate. Despite its importance in modelling complex dependence structures, there are very few fully nonparametric approaches to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Toihir Soulaimana Djaloud , Cheikh Tidiane Seck

The number of resident space objects is rising at an alarming rate. Mega-constellations and breakup events are proliferating in most orbital regimes, and safe navigation is becoming increasingly problematic. It is important to be able to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-11 Yannick Sztamfater Garcia , Joaquin Miguez , Manuel Sanjurjo-Rivo

High-dimensional mixed data as a combination of both continuous and ordinal variables are widely seen in many research areas such as genomic studies and survey data analysis. Estimating the underlying correlation among mixed data is hence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Xiaoyun Quan , James G. Booth , Martin T. Wells