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Robotic affordance estimation is challenging due to visual, geometric, and semantic ambiguities in sensory input. We propose a method that disambiguates these signals using two coupled recursive estimators for sub-aspects of affordances:…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Patrick Lowin , Vito Mengers , Oliver Brock

In climate studies, detecting spatial patterns that largely deviate from the sample mean still remains a statistical challenge. Although a Principal Component Analysis (PCA), or equivalently a Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Alberto Bernacchia , Philippe Naveau

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

In many high-dimensional problems,polynomial-time algorithms fall short of achieving the statistical limits attainable without computational constraints. A powerful approach to probe the limits of polynomial-time algorithms is to study the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Bertrand Even , Christophe Giraud , Nicolas Verzelen

A major challenge facing existing sequential Monte-Carlo methods for parameter estimation in physics stems from the inability of existing approaches to robustly deal with experiments that have different mechanisms that yield the results…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-13 Christopher Granade , Nathan Wiebe

This paper presents an introduction to the stochastic concepts of \emph{coupling} and \emph{copula}. Coupling means the construction of a joint distribution of two or more random variables that need not be defined on one and the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-18 Hans Colonius

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

Conditional particle filters (CPFs) with backward/ancestor sampling are powerful methods for sampling from the posterior distribution of the latent states of a dynamic model such as a hidden Markov model. However, the performance of these…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-21 Santeri Karppinen , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Matti Vihola

Parametric filters, such as the Extended Kalman Filter and the Unscented Kalman Filter, typically scale well with the dimensionality of the problem, but they are known to fail if the posterior state distribution cannot be closely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-07-25 Manuel Wüthrich , Jeannette Bohg , Daniel Kappler , Claudia Pfreundt , Stefan Schaal

Terahertz imaging shows significant potential across diverse fields, yet the cost-effectiveness of multi-pixel imaging equipment remains an obstacle for many researchers. To tackle this issue, the utilization of single-pixel imaging arises…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-02 Doğan Tunca Arık , Asaf Behzat Şahin , Özgün Ersoy

Weather predictions are often provided as ensembles generated by repeated runs of numerical weather prediction models. These forecasts typically exhibit bias and inaccurate dependence structures due to numerical and dispersion errors,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-23 Maurits Flos , Bastien François , Irene Schicker , Kirien Whan , Elisa Perrone

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and conditional random fields (CRFs) are two popular techniques for modeling sequential data. Inference algorithms designed over CRFs and HMMs allow estimation of the state sequence given the observations. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Gungor Polatkan , Oncel Tuzel

A data-driven method for improving the correlation estimation in serial ensemble Kalman filters is introduced. The method finds a linear map that transforms, at each assimilation cycle, the poorly estimated sample correlation into an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Michèle De La Chevrotière , John Harlim

Building higher-dimensional copulas is generally recognized as a difficult problem. Regular-vines using bivariate copulas provide a flexible class of high-dimensional dependency models. In large dimensions, the drawback of the model is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

Variable selection in high dimensional space has challenged many contemporary statistical problems from many frontiers of scientific disciplines. Recent technology advance has made it possible to collect a huge amount of covariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-05-20 Jianqing Fan , Yang Feng , Yichao Wu

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

In this paper we propose a flexible class of multivariate nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models, based on copulas. More precisely, we assume that the observation equation and the state equation are defined by copula families that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-04 Alexander Kreuzer , Luciana Dalla Valle , Claudia Czado

Rejuvenation in particle filters is necessary to prevent the collapse of the weights when the number of particles is insufficient to sample the high probability regions of the state space. Rejuvenation is often implemented in a heuristic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Andrey A Popov , Amit N Subrahmanya , Adrian Sandu

The goals of this work are two-fold: firstly, to propose a new theoretical framework for representing random fields on a large class of multidimensional geometrical domain in the tensor train format; secondly, to develop a new algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Ling-Ze Bu , Wei Zhao , Wei Wang

In the context of a high-dimensional linear regression model, we propose the use of an empirical correlation-adaptive prior that makes use of information in the observed predictor variable matrix to adaptively address high collinearity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-04 Chang Liu , Yue Yang , Howard Bondell , Ryan Martin