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Precision medicine promises to transform health care by offering individualised treatments that dramatically improve clinical outcomes. A necessary prerequisite is to identify subgroups of patients who respond differently to different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Adam Marcus , Paul Agapow

Survival analysis plays a crucial role in many healthcare decisions, where the risk prediction for the events of interest can support an informative outlook for a patient's medical journey. Given the existence of data censoring, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

In healthcare applications, temporal variables that encode movement, health status and longitudinal patient evolution are often accompanied by rich structured information such as demographics, diagnostics and medical exam data. However,…

We introduce Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations (TV-INRs), a probabilistic framework for modeling irregular multivariate time series that enables efficient individualized imputation and forecasting. By integrating implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Batuhan Koyuncu , Rachael DeVries , Ole Winther , Isabel Valera

The task of predicting long-term patient outcomes using supervised machine learning is a challenging one, in part because of the high variance of each patient's trajectory, which can result in the model over-fitting to the training data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Thomas Frost , Kezhi Li , Steve Harris

Machine learning applications for longitudinal electronic health records often forecast the risk of events at fixed time points, whereas survival analysis achieves dynamic risk prediction by estimating time-to-event distributions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Munib Mesinovic , Peter Watkinson , Tingting Zhu

Treatment effect estimation in continuous time is crucial for personalized medicine. However, existing methods for this task are limited to point estimates of the potential outcomes, whereas uncertainty estimates have been ignored. Needless…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Konstantin Hess , Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

In epidemiological research, modeling the cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes presents a challenge due to their intricate temporal dynamics. Conventional spline-based statistical methods, though effective,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Kang-Chung Yang , Shinsheng Yuan

Spatially dense self-supervised learning is a rapidly growing problem domain with promising applications for unsupervised segmentation and pretraining for dense downstream tasks. Despite the abundance of temporal data in the form of videos,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Mohammadreza Salehi , Efstratios Gavves , Cees G. M. Snoek , Yuki M. Asano

Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Dongjoon Lee , Hyeryn Park , Changhee Lee

Semi-Supervised Learning can be more beneficial for the video domain compared to images because of its higher annotation cost and dimensionality. Besides, any video understanding task requires reasoning over both spatial and temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Ishan Rajendrakumar Dave , Mamshad Nayeem Rizve , Chen Chen , Mubarak Shah

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

Background: Effective allocation of limited donor lungs in cystic fibrosis (CF) requires accurate survival predictions, so that high-risk patients may be prioritized for transplantation. In practice, decisions about allocation are made…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-30 Aasthaa Bansal , Nicole Mayer-Hamblett , Christopher H. Goss , Patrick J. Heagerty

Temporally causal representation learning aims to identify the latent causal process from time series observations, but most methods require the assumption that the latent causal processes do not have instantaneous relations. Although some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Zijian Li , Yifan Shen , Kaitao Zheng , Ruichu Cai , Xiangchen Song , Mingming Gong , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

In randomized trials and observational studies, it is often necessary to evaluate the extent to which an intervention affects a time-to-event outcome, which is only partially observed due to right censoring. For instance, in infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yutong Jin , Peter B. Gilbert , Aaron Hudson

Modern medical research demands specialized causal inference methods evaluating complex continuous-time dynamic treatment regimens using observational data. For instance, obtaining the causal effects of intravenous administration, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Haiyan Zhu , Yingchun Zhou

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of medical decisions that adapts to the evolving clinical status of a patient over time. To facilitate personalized care, it is crucial to assess the probability of each available treatment option…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Jiefeng Bi , Matteo Borrotti , Bernardo Nipoti

Theoretical developments in sequential Bayesian analysis of multivariate dynamic models underlie new methodology for causal prediction. This extends the utility of existing models with computationally efficient methodology, enabling routine…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Kevin Li , Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Mike West

Multivariate time series (MTS) classification is foundational to pervasive computing and financial analysis, yet existing multi-scale paradigms are often constrained by suboptimal representation fidelity. We identify two critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Fan Zhang , Yating Cui , Hua Wang

Machine and deep learning survival models demonstrate similar or even improved time-to-event prediction capabilities compared to classical statistical learning methods yet are too complex to be interpreted by humans. Several model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Mateusz Krzyziński , Mikołaj Spytek , Hubert Baniecki , Przemysław Biecek