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The massive amounts of geolocation data collected from mobile phone records has sparked an ongoing effort to understand and predict the mobility patterns of human beings. In this work, we study the extent to which social phenomena are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-18 Nicolas Ponieman , Alejo Salles , Carlos Sarraute

Learning controllable and generalizable representation of multivariate data with desired structural properties remains a fundamental problem in machine learning. In this paper, we present a novel framework for learning generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Ruixiang Zhang , Masanori Koyama , Katsuhiko Ishiguro

Forecasting a particular variable can depend upon temporal or spatial scale. Temporal variations that indicate variations with time, reflect the stochasticity present in the variable. Spatial variation usually are dominant in climatology…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-07 Harsh S. Dhiman , Dipankar Deb

Information geometry has offered a way to formally study the efficacy of scientific models by quantifying the impact of model parameters on the predicted effects. However, there has been little formal investigation of causation in this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Pavel Chvykov , Erik Hoel

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-11 Mark D. Risser

Block diffusion enables efficient parallel refinement in diffusion language models, but its decoding behavior depends critically on block size. Existing block-sizing strategies rely on fixed rules or heuristic signals and do not account for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Lipeng Wan , Junjie Ma , Jianhui Gu , Zeyang Liu , Xuyang Lu , Xuguang Lan

Spatiotemporal (ST) data collected by sensors can be represented as multi-variate time series, which is a sequence of data points listed in an order of time. Despite the vast amount of useful information, the ST data usually suffer from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Li Jiang , Ting Zhang , Qiruyi Zuo , Chenyu Tian , George P. Chan , Wai Kin , Chan

Whether a variable is the cause of another, or simply associated with it, is often an important scientific question. Causal Inference is the name associated with the body of techniques for addressing that question in a statistical setting.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-25 Caren Marzban , Yikun Zhang , Nicholas Bond , Michael Richman

There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Modelling the extremal dependence structure of spatial data is considerably easier if that structure is stationary. However, for data observed over large or complicated domains, non-stationarity will often prevail. Current methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Jordan Richards , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Standard geostatistical models assume second order stationarity of the underlying Random Function. In some instances, there is little reason to expect the spatial dependence structure to be stationary over the whole region of interest. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Francky Fouedjio , Nicolas Desassis , Jacques Rivoirard

The modeling of high-dimensional spatio-temporal processes presents a fundamental dichotomy between the probabilistic rigor of classical geostatistics and the flexible, high-capacity representations of deep learning. While Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Yuri Calleo

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

We present a geometric framework for regression on structured high-dimensional data that shifts the analysis from the ambient space to a geometric object capturing the data's intrinsic structure. The method addresses a fundamental challenge…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Pawel Gajer , Jacques Ravel

Development of air pollution models for large regions is a priority for population-based epidemiologic studies. The rapid development of big data information systems and machine learning algorithms have opened new grounds for refinements of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-18 Manuel Ribeiro

In a typical supervised machine learning setting, the predictions on all test instances are based on a common subset of features discovered during model training. However, using a different subset of features that is most informative for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Yasitha Warahena Liyanage , Daphney-Stavroula Zois , Charalampos Chelmis

Understanding how AI will represent and reason about geography should be a key concern for all of us, as the broader public increasingly interacts with spaces and places through these systems. Similarly, in line with the nature of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Krzysztof Janowicz , Gengchen Mai , Rui Zhu , Song Gao , Zhangyu Wang , Yingjie Hu , Lauren Bennett

Recent developments in extreme value statistics have established the so-called geometric approach as a powerful modelling tool for multivariate extremes. We tailor these methods to the case of spatial modelling and examine their efficacy at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Lydia Kakampakou , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Spatial confounding between the spatial random effects and fixed effects covariates has been recently discovered and showed that it may bring misleading interpretation to the model results. Solutions to alleviate this problem are based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-17 Marcos O. Prates , Erica C. Rodrigues , Renato M. Assunção