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In geostatistics, it is common to model spatially distributed phenomena through an underlying stationary and isotropic spatial process. However, these assumptions are often untenable in practice because of the influence of local effects in…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-29 Brian J. Reich , Jo Eidsvik , Michele Guindani , Amy J. Nail , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. To detect abnormal moments in these processes, a definition of `normal' must be established. This paper proposes a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

This paper lays the foundations for a unified framework for numerically and computationally applying methods drawn from a range of currently distinct geometrical approaches to statistical modelling. In so doing, it extends information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-11 Karim Anaya-Izquierdo , Frank Critchley , Paul Marriott , Paul W. Vos

Latent space models for network data characterize each node through a vector of latent features whose pairwise similarities define the edge probabilities among the pairs of nodes. Although this formulation has led to successful…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Federico Pavone , Daniele Durante , Robin J. Ryder

In this paper, we propose the $\textit{geometric invariance hypothesis (GIH)}$, which argues that the input space curvature of a neural network remains invariant under transformation in certain architecture-dependent directions during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Sajad Movahedi , Antonio Orvieto , Seyed-Mohsen Moosavi-Dezfooli

Although spatial prediction is widely used for urban and environmental monitoring, its accuracy is often unsatisfactory if only a small number of samples are available in the study area. The objective of this study was to improve the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-22 Daisuke Murakami , Mami Kajita , Seiji Kajita

Big data has now become a strong focus of global interest that is increasingly attracting the attention of academia, industry, government and other organizations. Big data can be situated in the disciplinary area of traditional geospatial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-04 S. Li , S. Dragicevic , F. Anton , M. Sester , S. Winter , A. Coltekin , C. Pettit , B. Jiang , J. Haworth , A. Stein , T. Cheng

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Learning guarantees often rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data, which will likely be violated in practice once predictors are deployed to perform real-world tasks. Domain adaptation approaches thus appeared as a useful framework yielding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Joao Monteiro , Xavier Gibert , Jianqiao Feng , Vincent Dumoulin , Dar-Shyang Lee

Probabilistic modeling is one of the foundations of modern machine learning and artificial intelligence. In this paper, we propose a novel type of probabilistic models named latent dependency forest models (LDFMs). A LDFM models the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Shanbo Chu , Yong Jiang , Kewei Tu

We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Vanessa Didelez , Svend Kreiner , Niels Keiding

Feature extraction - the ability to identify relevant properties of data - is a key factor underlying the success of deep learning. Yet, it has proved difficult to elucidate its nature within existing predictive theories, to the extent that…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-08-29 Andrea Corti , Rosalba Pacelli , Pietro Rotondo , Marco Gherardi

We propose to implicitly learn to extract geo-temporal image features, which are mid-level features related to when and where an image was captured, by explicitly optimizing for a set of location and time estimation tasks. To train our…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Menghua Zhai , Tawfiq Salem , Connor Greenwell , Scott Workman , Robert Pless , Nathan Jacobs

Traditional machine learning relies on explicit models and domain assumptions, limiting flexibility and interpretability. We introduce a model-free framework using surprisal (information theoretic uncertainty) to directly analyze and…

Observations on the past provide some hints about what will happen in the future, and this can be quantified using information theory. The ``predictive information'' defined in this way has connections to measures of complexity that have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Bialek , Naftali Tishby

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

This study elaborates some examples of a simple evolutionary stochastic rate process where the population rate of change depends on the distribution of properties--so different cohorts change at different rates. We investigate the effect on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-26 C. T. J. Dodson

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

With the rise of electronic data, particularly Earth observation data, data-based geospatial modelling using machine learning (ML) has gained popularity in environmental research. Accurate geospatial predictions are vital for domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Diana Koldasbayeva , Polina Tregubova , Mikhail Gasanov , Alexey Zaytsev , Anna Petrovskaia , Evgeny Burnaev
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