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In this paper, we present an integrated approach to portfolio construction and optimization, leveraging high-performance computing capabilities. We first explore diverse pairings of generative model forecasts and objective functions used…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Tuoyuan Cheng , Kan Chen

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

In many clustering scenes, data samples' attribute values change over time. For such data, we are often interested in obtaining a partition for each time step and tracking the dynamic change of partitions. Normally, a smooth change is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Qi Zhao , Bai Yan , Yuhui Shi

We propose a distributionally robust formulation of the traditional risk parity portfolio optimization problem. Distributional robustness is introduced by targeting the discrete probabilities attached to each observation used during…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Giorgio Costa , Roy H. Kwon

Variable division and optimization (D\&O) is a frequently utilized algorithm design paradigm in Evolutionary Algorithms (EAs). A D\&O EA divides a variable into partial variables and then optimize them respectively. A complicated problem is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yi Chen , Aimin Zhou

A key challenge in reinforcement learning (RL) is managing the exploration-exploitation trade-off without sacrificing sample efficiency. Policy gradient (PG) methods excel in exploitation through fine-grained, gradient-based optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Zelal Su "Lain" Mustafaoglu , Keshav Pingali , Risto Miikkulainen

In this paper we propose a novel method for learning how algorithms perform. Classically, algorithms are compared on a finite number of existing (or newly simulated) benchmark datasets based on some fixed metrics. The algorithm(s) with the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Henry Wilde , Vincent Knight , Jonathan Gillard

Modern machine learning is still largely organized around a single recipe: choose a parameterized model family and optimize its weights. Although highly successful, this paradigm is too narrow for many structured prediction problems, where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Kamer Ali Yuksel , Hassan Sawaf

Financial markets are inherently non-stationary, with shifting volatility regimes that alter asset co-movements and return distributions. Standard portfolio optimization methods, typically built on stationarity or regime-agnostic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-20 Yiyao Zhang , Diksha Goel , Hussain Ahmad , Claudia Szabo

Portfolio optimization approaches inevitably rely on multivariate modeling of markets and the economy. In this paper, we address three sources of error related to the modeling of these complex systems: 1. oversimplifying hypothesis; 2.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-30 Pier Francesco Procacci , Tomaso Aste

Portfolio optimization has been an area that has attracted considerable attention from the financial research community. Designing a profitable portfolio is a challenging task involving precise forecasting of future stock returns and risks.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-12 Jaydip Sen , Subhasis Dasgupta

This paper presents an innovative online portfolio selection model, situated within a meta-learning framework, that leverages a mixture policies strategy. The core idea is to simulate a fund that employs multiple fund managers, each skilled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Jiayu Shen , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

We propose DeepAries , a novel deep reinforcement learning framework for dynamic portfolio management that jointly optimizes the timing and allocation of rebalancing decisions. Unlike prior reinforcement learning methods that employ fixed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-20 Jinkyu Kim , Hyunjung Yi , Mogan Gim , Donghee Choi , Jaewoo Kang

We give a complete algorithm and source code for constructing what we refer to as heterotic risk models (for equities), which combine: i) granularity of an industry classification; ii) diagonality of the principal component factor…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-26 Zura Kakushadze

The idiosyncratic (microscopic) and systemic (macroscopic) components of market structure have been shown to be responsible for the departure of the optimal mean-variance allocation from the heuristic `equally-weighted' portfolio. In this…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-24 Sebastiano Michele Zema , Giorgio Fagiolo , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

In this paper, we present an extended exploratory continuous-time mean-variance framework for portfolio management. Our strategy involves a new clustering method based on simulated annealing, which allows for more practical asset selection.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-07 Zhou Fang

Chance constrained optimization problems allow to model problems where constraints involving stochastic components should only be violated with a small probability. Evolutionary algorithms have been applied to this scenario and shown to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Frank Neumann , Carsten Witt

Portfolio optimization is a critical task in investment. Most existing portfolio optimization methods require information on the distribution of returns of the assets that make up the portfolio. However, such distribution information is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Masahiro Kato , Kentaro Baba , Hibiki Kaibuchi , Ryo Inokuchi

We propose a data-driven Neural Network (NN) optimization framework to determine the optimal multi-period dynamic asset allocation strategy for outperforming a general stochastic target. We formulate the problem as an optimal stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Chendi Ni , Yuying Li , Peter Forsyth , Ray Carroll

Portfolio-based algorithm selection has seen tremendous practical success over the past two decades. This algorithm configuration procedure works by first selecting a portfolio of diverse algorithm parameter settings, and then, on a given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Maria-Florina Balcan , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik