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Most decision tree induction algorithms are based on a greedy top-down recursive partitioning strategy for tree growth. In this paper, we propose several methods for induction of decision trees and their ensembles based on evolutionary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Evgeny Dolotov , Nikolai Zolotykh

Portfolio allocation via stock price prediction is inherently difficult due to the notoriously low signal-to-noise ratio of stock time series. This paper proposes a method by integrating wavelet transform convolution and channel attention…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Junjie Guo

Evolutionary model merging provides a powerful framework for the automated, training-free composition of LLMs through parameter-space search. However, existing methods predominantly rely on stochastic, hand-crafted operators that overlook…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Tao Jiang , Xinmeng Yu , Chenhao Yi , Yiling Wu , Yan Li , Ran Cheng , Dongmei Jiang , Jianguo Zhang

This paper explores option portfolio optimization when the underlying returns are skew-elliptical t-distributed. We use the variance and value at risk (VaR) to measure portfolio risk. The novelty of our work is the departure from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Kyle Sung , Traian A. Pirvu

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

In this paper we propose a novel application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to financial asset allocation. Our approach is deeply rooted in Stochastic Portfolio Theory (SPT), a stochastic analysis framework introduced by Robert Fernholz that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-06 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Alexander Vervuurt

This work aims to deal with the optimal allocation instability problem of Markowitz's modern portfolio theory in high dimensionality. We propose a combined strategy that considers covariance matrix estimators from Random Matrix Theory~(RMT)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García-Medina , Benito Rodriguéz-Camejo

This paper investigates performance attribution measures as a basis for constraining portfolio optimization. We employ optimizations that minimize expected tail loss and investigate both asset allocation (AA) and the selection effect (SE)…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Yuan Hu , W. Brent Lindquist

In this work, we consider weighted signed network representations of financial markets derived from raw or denoised correlation matrices, and examine how negative edges can be exploited to reduce portfolio risk. We then propose a discrete…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-08 Bibhas Adhikari

In this paper, we present an artificial neural network framework for portfolio compression of a large portfolio of European options with varying maturities (target portfolio) by a significantly smaller portfolio of European options with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-29 Vikranth Lokeshwar Dhandapani , Shashi Jain

We present a novel black box optimization algorithm called Hessian Estimation Evolution Strategy. The algorithm updates the covariance matrix of its sampling distribution by directly estimating the curvature of the objective function. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Tobias Glasmachers , Oswin Krause

It is a known fact that the performance of optimization algorithms for NP-Hard problems vary from instance to instance. We observed the same trend when we comprehensively studied multi-objective evolutionary algorithms (MOEAs) on a six…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Santosh Mungle

Recent studies stressed the fact that covariance matrices computed from empirical financial time series appear to contain a high amount of noise. This makes the classical Markowitz Mean-Variance Optimization model unable to correctly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Justo Puerto , Federica Ricca , Moisés Rodríguez-Madrena , Andrea Scozzari

Finding the optimal parameter setting (i.e. the optimal population size, the optimal mutation probability, the optimal evolutionary model etc) for an Evolutionary Algorithm (EA) is a difficult task. Instead of evolving only the parameters…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Mihai Oltean , Crina Groşan

We propose an adaptive random quantum algorithm to obtain an optimized eigensolver. Specifically, we introduce a general method to parametrize and optimize the probability density function of a random number generator, which is the core of…

Optimal portfolio allocation is often formulated as a constrained risk problem, where one aims to minimize a risk measure subject to some performance constraints. This paper presents new Bayesian Optimization algorithms for such constrained…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li

Diversification is a cornerstone of robust portfolio construction, yet its application remains fraught with challenges due to model uncertainty and estimation errors. Practitioners often rely on sophisticated, proprietary heuristics to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Florent Segonne

Portfolio selection in the periodic investment of securities modeled by a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps is considered. The optimization framework is designed to maximize expected terminal wealth when portfolio risk is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

The paper solves the problem of optimal portfolio choice when the parameters of the asset returns distribution, like the mean vector and the covariance matrix are unknown and have to be estimated by using historical data of the asset…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 David Bauder , Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

Algorithm selection is crucial in the field of optimization, as no single algorithm performs perfectly across all types of optimization problems. Finding the best algorithm among a given set of algorithms for a given problem requires a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Saba Sadeghi Ahouei , Denis Antipov , Aneta Neumann , Frank Neumann
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