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The prediction of the temporal dynamics of chaotic systems is challenging because infinitesimal perturbations grow exponentially. The analysis of the dynamics of infinitesimal perturbations is the subject of stability analysis. In stability…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-31 Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Gabriel Melo , Leonardo Santiago , Peter Y. Lu

This work proposes an innovative approach using machine learning to predict extreme events in time series of chaotic dynamical systems. The research focuses on the time series of the H\'enon map, a two-dimensional model known for its…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-11 Alexandre C. Andreani , Bruno R. R. Boaretto , Elbert E. N. Macau

The dynamics of many important high-dimensional dynamical systems are both chaotic and complex, meaning that strong reducing hypotheses are required to understand the dynamics. The highly influential chaotic hypothesis of Gallavotti and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-04 Caroline L. Wormell

We introduce new machine-learning techniques for analyzing chaotic dynamical systems. The primary objectives of the study include the development of a new and simple method for calculating the Lyapunov exponent using only two trajectory…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-06 Lazare Osmanov

Chaotic systems pose fundamental challenges for data-driven dynamics discovery, as small modeling errors lead to exponentially growing trajectory discrepancies. Since exact long-term prediction is unattainable, it is natural to ask what a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Joon-Hyuk Ko , Andrus Giraldo , Deok-Sun Lee

To improve the robustness of transformer neural networks used for temporal-dynamics prediction of chaotic systems, we propose a novel attention mechanism called easy attention which we demonstrate in time-series reconstruction and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Marcial Sanchis-Agudo , Yuning Wang , Roger Arnau , Luca Guastoni , Jasmin Lim , Karthik Duraisamy , Ricardo Vinuesa

Unstable periodic orbits (UPOs) are the non-chaotic, dynamical building blocks of spatio-temporal chaos, motivating a first-principles based theory for turbulence ever since the discovery of deterministic chaos. Despite their key role in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-06 Pierre Beck , Tobias M. Schneider

Simulating the long-term dynamics of multi-scale and multi-physics systems poses a significant challenge in understanding complex phenomena across science and engineering. The complexity arises from the intricate interactions between scales…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Da Long , Shandian Zhe , Samuel Williams , Leonid Oliker , Zhe Bai

Different aspects of the predictability problem in dynamical systems are reviewed. The deep relation among Lyapunov exponents, Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy, Shannon entropy and algorithmic complexity is discussed. In particular, we emphasize…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 G. Boffetta , M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , A. Vulpiani

A dynamical systems approach to turbulence envisions the flow as a trajectory through a high-dimensional state space transiently visiting the neighbourhoods of unstable simple invariant solutions (E. Hopf, Commun. Appl. Maths 1, 303, 1948).…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-15 Jacob Page , Peter Norgaard , Michael P. Brenner , Rich R. Kerswell

Certain deterministic non-linear systems may show chaotic behaviour. Time series derived from such systems seem stochastic when analyzed with linear techniques. However, uncovering the deterministic structure is important because it allows…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Nils Christophersen

Handling regime shifts and non-stationary time series in deep learning systems presents a significant challenge. In the case of online learning, when new information is introduced, it can disrupt previously stored data and alter the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

We propose a novel framework for approximating the statistical properties of turbulent flows by combining variational methods for the search of unstable periodic orbits with resolvent analysis for dimensionality reduction. Traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-22 Thomas Burton , Sean Symon , Ati Sharma , Davide Lasagna

Modeling of longitudinal cohort data typically involves complex temporal dependencies between multiple variables. There, the transformer architecture, which has been highly successful in language and vision applications, allows us to…

The scaling behavior of the maximal Lyapunov exponent in chaotic systems with time-delayed feedback is investigated. For large delay times it has been shown that the delay-dependence of the exponent allows a distinction between strong and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-10-15 Thomas Jüngling , Wolfgang Kinzel

The introduction of unexpected system disturbances and new system dynamics does not allow guaranteed continuous system stability. In this research we present a novel approach for detecting early failure indicators of non-linear highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-02 Amr Mahmoud , Youmna Ismaeil , Mohamed Zohdy

While attention has been empirically shown to improve model performance, it lacks a rigorous mathematical justification. This short paper establishes a novel connection between attention mechanisms and multinomial regression. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jonas A. Actor , Anthony Gruber , Eric C. Cyr

An extensive statistical survey of universal approximators shows that as the dimension of a typical dissipative dynamical system is increased, the number of positive Lyapunov exponents increases monotonically and the number of parameter…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 D. J. Albers , J. C. Sprott , J. P. Crutchfield

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in transportation management and planning. The main challenges for traffic flow forecasting are that (1) as the length of prediction time increases, the accuracy of prediction will decrease; (2)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Jianli Xiao , Baichao Long