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Related papers: Physical Climate Risk in Asset Management

200 papers

Flood-related risks to people and property are expected to increase in the future due to environmental and demographic changes. It is important to quantify and effectively communicate flood hazards and exposure to inform the design and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Sanjib Sharma , Michael Gomez , Klaus Keller , Robert Nicholas , Alfonso Mejia

Climate change poses new risks for real estate assets. Given that the majority of home buyers use a loan to pay for their homes and the majority of these loans are purchased by the Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), it is important to…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-15 Amine Ouazad , Matthew E. Kahn

In this study, we evaluate the effects of natural disasters on the stock (market) values of firms located in the affected counties. We are able to measure the change in stock prices of the firms affected by the 2021 Texas winter storm. To…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-01 Sherry Hu , Kose John , Balbinder Singh Gill

This paper examines the impact of climate shocks on 13 European economies analysing jointly business and financial cycles, in different phases and disentangling the effects for different sector channels. A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-01 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Enrica De Cian , Malcolm Mistry , Anthony Osuntuyi

Extreme event attribution characterizes how anthropogenic climate change may have influenced the probability and magnitude of selected individual extreme weather and climate events. Attribution statements often involve quantification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Soyoung Jeon , Christopher J. Paciorek , Michael F. Wehner

This article develops multiple novel climate risk measures (or variables) based on the television news coverage by Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox Business, and examines how they affect the systematic and idiosyncratic risks of clean energy firms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Wasim Ahmad , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Suruchi Shrimali , Preeti Roy

Changes in the frequency, duration, and severity of climate extremes are forecast to occur under global climate change. The impacts of climate extremes on forest productivity and health are complicated by potential interactions with…

Public perceptions of climate change arguably contribute to shaping private adaptation and support for policy intervention. In this paper, we propose a novel Climate Concern Index (CCI), based on disaggregated web-search volumes related to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-09 Giovanni Angelini , Maria Elena Bontempi , Luca De Angelis , Paolo Neri , Marco Maria Sorge

We develop a financial market model in which a large population of firms chooses dynamic emission strategies under climate transition risk, interacting with both environmentally concerned and neutral investors. Firms face a trade-off…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Pierre Lavigne , Peter Tankov

Although climate and nature related scenario analysis is increasingly important in finance, operational implementations remain limited for translating long horizon environmental scenarios into counterparty credit risk measures used in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Takayuki Sakuma

The aim of this work is to propose an end-by-end modeling framework to evaluate the risk measures of a bank's portfolio of collateralized loans in an economy subject to the climate transition. The economy, organized in sectors, is driven by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Lionel Sopgoui

The risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for both the authorities and the insurance industry. This paper concerns risk measures in a spatial setting, in order to introduce the spatial features of damages stemming from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Erwan Koch

Event attribution in the context of climate change seeks to understand the role of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions on extreme weather events, either specific events or classes of events. A common approach to event attribution uses…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Christopher J. Paciorek , Dáithí A. Stone , Michael F. Wehner

Extreme weather events stemming from climate change can cause significant damage and disruption to power systems. Failure to mitigate and adapt to climate change and its cascading effects can lead to short and long term issues. The profound…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-09-22 Rouzbeh Shirvani , Tarannom Parhizkar

This paper analyses the risk factors around investing in global supply chain infrastructure: the energy market, investor sentiment, and global shipping costs. It presents portfolio strategies associated with dynamic risks. A time-varying…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-08 Haibo Wang

This paper investigates the implications of the future continuation of the demonstrated past (1960-2012) strong correlation between first-difference atmospheric CO2 and global surface temperature. It does this, for the period from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 L. M. W Leggett , D. A. Ball

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these…

With climate change accelerating, the frequency of climate disasters is expected to increase in the decades to come. There is ongoing debate as to how different climatic regions will be affected by such an acceleration. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Eric Jondeau , Linda Mhalla

Climate models are critical tools for developing strategies to manage the risks posed by sea-level rise to coastal communities. While these models are necessary for understanding climate risks, there is a level of uncertainty inherent in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Alana Hough , Tony E. Wong

Natural climate variability, captured through multiple initial condition ensembles, may be comparable to the variability caused by knowledge gaps in future emissions trajectories and in the physical science basis, especially at…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Udit Bhatia , Auroop Ratan Ganguly