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Topological measurements are increasingly being accepted as an important tool for quantifying complex structures. In many applications, these structures can be expressed as nodal domains of real-valued functions and are obtained only…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Konstantin Mischaikow , Thomas Wanner

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

This work is a numerical experiment of stochastic motion of conservative Hamiltonian system or weakly damped Brownian particles. The objective is to prove the existence of path probability and to compute its values. By observing a large…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-02-09 Lin Tongling , Pujos Cyril , Ou Congjie , Bi Wenping , Calvayrac Florent , Wang Qiuping A

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

The radiological characterization of contaminated elements (walls, grounds, objects) from nuclear facilities often suffers from a too small number of measurements. In order to determine risk prediction bounds on the level of contamination,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-30 Géraud Blatman , Thibault Delage , Bertrand Iooss , Nadia Pérot

We consider a data-driven robust hypothesis test where the optimal test will minimize the worst-case performance regarding distributions that are close to the empirical distributions with respect to the Wasserstein distance. This leads to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Liyan Xie , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

Measuring dependence between random variables is a fundamental problem in Statistics, with applications across diverse fields. While classical measures such as Pearson's correlation have been widely used for over a century, they have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant

We propose a method for deterministic sampling of arbitrary continuous angular density functions. With deterministic sampling, good estimation results can typically be achieved with much smaller numbers of samples compared to the commonly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

The paper builds upon a recent approach to find the approximate bounds of a real function using Polynomial Chaos expansions. Given a function of random variables with compact support probability distributions, the intuition is to quantify…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-11 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

A common problem in Bayesian inference is the sampling of target probability distributions at sufficient resolution and accuracy to estimate the probability density, and to compute credible regions. Often by construction, many target…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-20 Alvin J. K. Chua

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

We propose a novel approach for solving inverse-problems with high-dimensional inputs and an expensive forward mapping. It leverages joint deep generative modelling to transfer the original problem spaces to a lower dimensional latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Eliane Maalouf , David Ginsbourger , Niklas Linde

We derive sufficient conditions for sampling with derivatives in shift-invariant spaces generated by a periodic exponential B-spline. The sufficient conditions are expressed with a new notion of measuring the gap between consecutive…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Karlheinz Gröchenig , Irina Shafkulovska

We propose a distributionally robust classification model with a fairness constraint that encourages the classifier to be fair in view of the equality of opportunity criterion. We use a type-$\infty$ Wasserstein ambiguity set centered at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Yijie Wang , Viet Anh Nguyen , Grani A. Hanasusanto

In this paper, we address the problem of sampling-based motion planning under motion and measurement uncertainty with probabilistic guarantees. We generalize traditional sampling-based tree-based motion planning algorithms for deterministic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Qi Heng Ho , Zachary N. Sunberg , Morteza Lahijanian

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We propose algorithms for sampling from posterior path measures $P(C([0, T], \mathbb{R}^d))$ under a general prior process. This leverages ideas from (1) controlled equilibrium dynamics, which gradually transport between two path measures,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Qijia Jiang , Reuben Cohn-Gordon

Tree-based priors for probability distributions are usually specified using a predetermined, data-independent collection of candidate recursive partitions of the sample space. To characterize an unknown target density in detail over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Li Ma , Benedetta Bruni
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