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Continuous soil-moisture measurements provide a direct lens on subsurface hydrological processes, notably the post-rainfall "drydown" phase. Because these records consist of distinct, segment-specific behaviours whose forms and scales vary…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-17 Mengyi Gong , Christopher Nemeth , Rebecca Killick , Peter Strauss , John Quinton

Regression-based frameworks for streamflow regionalization are built around catchment attributes that traditionally originate from catchment hydrology, flood frequency analysis and their interplay. In this work, we deviated from this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a framework for performing likelihood-free posterior inference for simulation models. Stochastic Variational inference (SVI) is an appealing alternative to the inefficient sampling approaches…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-29 Alexander Moreno , Tameem Adel , Edward Meeds , James M. Rehg , Max Welling

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

We propose a novel recursive system identification algorithm for linear autoregressive systems with skewed innovations. The algorithm is based on the variational Bayes approximation of the model with a multivariate normal prior for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-13 Henri Nurminen , Tohid Ardeshiri

We introduce a novel Graph Attention Autoencoder (GAE) with spatial regularization to address the challenge of scalable anomaly detection in spatiotemporal rainfall data across India from 1990 to 2015. Our model leverages a Graph Attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Mihir Agarwal , Progyan Das , Udit Bhatia

As the frequency and severity of climate-related events such as droughts, floods, and water scarcity continue to escalate, accurate rainfall monitoring becomes increasingly critical. This paper covers various industry methods of measuring…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-04 Parth Saxena , Pratham Saxena , Adarsh Sowcar , Sreeharsha Angara , Ashutosh Pandey , Thomas Basikolo

In this paper, we present a new self-supervised scene flow estimation approach for a pair of consecutive point clouds. The key idea of our approach is to represent discrete point clouds as continuous probability density functions using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Pan He , Patrick Emami , Sanjay Ranka , Anand Rangarajan

This paper proposes Constrained Sampling Cluster Model Predictive Path Integral (CSC-MPPI), a novel constrained formulation of MPPI designed to enhance trajectory optimization while enforcing strict constraints on system states and control…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Leesai Park , Keunwoo Jang , Sanghyun Kim

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model for spatial extremes on a large domain. In the data layer a Gaussian elliptical copula having generalized extreme value (GEV) marginals is applied. Spatial dependence in the GEV parameters are…

In recent years, there has been growing interest in using Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) signal delays to predict rainfall. However, the occurrence of rainfall is dependent on a myriad of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng , Stefan Winkler

Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a method that improves statistical estimates based on limited human-labeled data. PPI achieves this by combining small amounts of human-labeled data with larger amounts of data labeled by a reasonably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Adam Fisch , Joshua Maynez , R. Alex Hofer , Bhuwan Dhingra , Amir Globerson , William W. Cohen

Despite the extensive body of literature focused on remote sensing applications for land cover mapping and the availability of high-resolution satellite imagery, methods for continuously updating classification maps in real-time remain…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-10 Helena Calatrava , Bhavya Duvvuri , Haoqing Li , Ricardo Borsoi , Edward Beighley , Deniz Erdogmus , Pau Closas , Tales Imbiriba

Small-area precipitation forecasts support real-time decisions for reservoir operation, irrigation planning, drought monitoring, and flash-flood response. Operational value depends not only on point accuracy, but also on calibrated…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-27 Foo Hui-Mean , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Analyzing unsteady fluid flows often requires access to the full distribution of possible temporal states, yet conventional PDE solvers are computationally prohibitive and learned time-stepping surrogates quickly accumulate error over long…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Mario Lino , Nils Thuerey

Simulation of rainfall over a region for long time-sequences can be very useful for planning and policy-making, especially in India where the economy is heavily reliant on monsoon rainfall. However, such simulations should be able to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-04 Adway Mitra

Statistical models are an essential tool to model, forecast and understand the hydrological processes in watersheds. In particular, the understanding of time lags associated with the delay between rainfall occurrence and subsequent changes…

Uncertainty in return level estimates for rare events, like the intensity of large rainfall events, makes it difficult to develop strategies to mitigate related hazards, like flooding. Latent spatial extremes models reduce uncertainty by…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-27 Joshua Hewitt , Miranda J. Fix , Jennifer A. Hoeting , Daniel S. Cooley

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model which produces probabilistic reconstructions of hydroclimatic variability in Queensland Australia. The model provides a standardised approach to hydroclimate reconstruction using multiple…

Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference (ADVI) is efficient in learning probabilistic models. Classic ADVI relies on the parametric approach to approximate the posterior. In this paper, we develop a spline-based nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Yuda Shao , Shan Yu , Tianshu Feng
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