Related papers: Sample-Path Large Deviations for Functionals of Po…
The Poisson--Dirichlet distribution arises in many different areas. The parameter $\theta$ in the distribution is the scaled mutation rate of a population in the context of population genetics. The limiting case of $\theta$ approaching…
We consider a directed polymer model in dimension $1+1$, where the disorder is given by the occupation field of a Poisson system of independent random walks on $\mathbb Z$. In a suitable continuum and weak disorder limit, we show that the…
Consider an intersection measure $\ell_t ^{\mathrm{IS}}$ of $p$ independent (possibly different) $m$-symmetric Hunt processes up to time $t$ in a metric measure space $E$ with a Radon measure $m$. We derive a Donsker-Varadhan type large…
We prove a Large Deviation Principle for {\color{blue} jump-Markov } Processes on sparse large disordered network with disordered connectivity. The network is embedded in a geometric space, with the probability of a connection a (scaled)…
Population dynamics with complex biological interactions, accounting for uncertainty quantification, is critical for many application areas. However, due to the complexity of biological systems, the mathematical formulation of the…
We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…
How do large deviation events in a stationary process cluster? The answer depends not only on the type of large deviations, but also on the length of memory in the process. Somewhat unexpectedly, it may also depend on the tails of the…
To accurately quantify landslide hazard in a region of Turkey, we develop new marked point process models within a Bayesian hierarchical framework for the joint prediction of landslide counts and sizes. To accommodate for the dominant role…
For a strictly stationary sequence of $\mathbb{R}_{+}^{d}$--valued random vectors we derive functional convergence of partial maxima stochastic processes under joint regular variation and weak dependence conditions. The limit process is an…
A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…
We study asymptotic properties of supercritical Galton-Watson (GW) branching processes in the asymptotic where the mean of the offspring distribution approaches 1 from above. We show that the population-size distribution of the GW branching…
Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…
U-statistics of spatial point processes given by a density with respect to a Poisson process are investigated. In the first half of the paper general relations are derived for the moments of the functionals using kernels from the Wiener-Ito…
If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…
We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system…
The probability distribution $\mu_{cl}$ of a general cluster point process in a Riemannian manifold $X$ (with independent random clusters attached to points of a configuration with distribution $\mu$) is studied via the projection of an…
The paper deals with a family of jump Markov process defined in a medium with a periodic or locally periodic microstructure. We assume that the generator of the process is a zero order convolution type operator with rapidly oscillating…
We consider a sequence of Poisson cluster point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$: at step $n\in\mathbb{N}_0$ of the construction, the cluster centers have intensity $c/(n+1)$ for some $c>0$, and each cluster consists of the particles of a…
It is known that the number of points in the largest cluster of a percolating Poisson process restricted to a large finite box is asymptotically normal. In this note, we establish a rate of convergence for the statement. As each point in…
A number of recent studies have estimated the inter-galactic void probability function and investigated its departure from various random models. We study a family of parametric statistical models based on gamma distributions, which do give…