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In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We prove pathwise large-deviation principles of switching Markov processes by exploiting the connection to associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations, following Jin Feng's and Thomas Kurtz's method. In the limit that we consider, we show how the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Mark A. Peletier , Mikola C. Schlottke

We present new Poisson process approximation results for stabilizing functionals of Poisson and binomial point processes. These functionals are allowed to have an unbounded range of interaction and encompass many examples in stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Omer Bobrowski , Matthias Schulte , D. Yogeshwaran

We consider generalized Bayesian inference on stochastic processes and dynamical systems with potentially long-range dependency. Given a sequence of observations, a class of parametrized model processes with a prior distribution, and a loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Langxuan Su , Sayan Mukherjee

It is known that for a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables $(X_{n})$ the regular variation condition is equivalent to weak convergence of partial maxima $M_{n}= \max\{X_{1}, \ldots, X_{n}\}$, appropriately…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Danijel Krizmanić

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

Poisson shot noise processes are natural generalizations of compound Poisson processes that have been widely applied in insurance, neuroscience, seismology, computer science and epidemiology. In this paper we study sharp deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-12 Giovanni Luca Torrisi , Emilio Leonardi

We study systems of simple point processes that admit stochastic intensities. We represent these point processes as thinnings of Poisson measures and are interested in a convergence result of such systems. This result states that, if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Xavier Erny

It is well-known that large deviations of random walks driven by independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables are governed by the so-called principle of one large jump. We note that further subtleties hold for such…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Harald Bernhard , Bikramjit Das

The large deviations theory for heavy-tailed processes has seen significant advances in the recent past. In particular, Rhee et al. (2019) and Bazhba et al. (2020) established large deviation asymptotics at the sample-path level for L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Zhe Su , Chang-Han Rhee

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Simulating samples from arbitrary probability distributions is a major research program of statistical computing. Recent work has shown promise in an old idea, that sampling from a discrete distribution can be accomplished by perturbing and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-13 Chris J. Maddison

We show that the random point measures induced by vertices in the convex hull of a Poisson sample on the unit ball, when properly scaled and centered, converge to those of a mean zero Gaussian field. We establish limiting variance and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-09 T. Schreiber , J. E. Yukich

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

Marked point process data arise when events occur in a space with event-level marks. We study clustering of replicated marked Poisson point processes and introduce Dirichlet process mixtures of marked Poisson point processes, a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Minsung Choi , Seonghyun Jeong

This article is concerned with moderate deviation principles of a general class of mean eld type interacting particle models. We discuss functional moderate deviations of the occupation measures for both the strong -topology on the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Pierre Del Moral , Shulan Hu , Liming Wu

In order to obtain functional limit theorems for heavy tailed stationary processes arising from dynamical systems, one needs to understand the clustering patterns of the tail observations of the process. These patterns are well described by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Raquel Couto

Consider a queueing system fed by traffic from $N$ independent and identically distributed marked point processes. We establish several novel sample path large deviations results in the scaled uniform topology for such a system with a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-11 James R. Cruise , Fraser Daly , Bemsibom Toh