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This paper develops likelihood-based methods for estimation, inference, model selection, and forecasting of continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes. The full likelihood of integer-valued trawl processes is, in general, highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Neil Shephard , Almut E. D. Veraart

Comparative judgement studies elicit quality assessments through pairwise comparisons, typically analysed using the Bradley-Terry model. A challenge in these studies is experimental design, specifically, determining the optimal pairs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jiahua Jiang , Joseph Marsh , Rowland G Seymour

The problem of selecting small groups of itemsets that represent the data well has recently gained a lot of attention. We approach the problem by searching for the itemsets that compress the data efficiently. As a compression technique we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Nikolaj Tatti , Jilles Vreeken

Evaluating the pedagogical quality of AI tutors remains challenging: standard NLG metrics do not determine whether responses identify mistakes, scaffold reasoning, or avoid revealing the answers. For the task of mistake remediation, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Kseniia Petukhova , Ekaterina Kochmar

Comparative Judgement is an assessment method where item ratings are estimated based on rankings of subsets of the items. These rankings are typically pairwise, with ratings taken to be the estimated parameters from fitting a Bradley-Terry…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Ian Hamilton , Nick Tawn

This paper investigates a time-inconsistent portfolio selection problem in the incomplete mar ket model, integrating expected utility maximization with risk control. The objective functional balances the expected utility and variance on log…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Yue Cao , Zongxia Liang , Sheng Wang , Xiang Yu

The task of ranking individuals or teams, based on a set of comparisons between pairs, arises in various contexts, including sporting competitions and the analysis of dominance hierarchies among animals and humans. Given data on which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-21 M. E. J. Newman

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

The aim of this paper is to introduce models and algorithms for the Participatory Budgeting problem when projects can interact with each other. In this problem, the objective is to select a set of projects that fits in a given budget.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Martin Durand , Fanny Pascual

Crowdsourcing offers an affordable and scalable means to collect relevance judgments for IR test collections. However, crowd assessors may show higher variance in judgment quality than trusted assessors. In this paper, we investigate how to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Mucahid Kutlu , Tyler McDonnell , Aashish Sheshadri , Tamer Elsayed , Matthew Lease

The long-standing unitary-actor assumption in strategy research -- treating firms as monolithic entities with coherent preferences -- misses that organizations are coalitions of individuals with diverse and often conflicting goals. Although…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-25 Felipe A. Csaszar , John C. Eklund

Stock portfolio optimization is the process of continuous reallocation of funds to a selection of stocks. This is a particularly well-suited problem for reinforcement learning, as daily rewards are compounding and objective functions may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 Charl Maree , Christian W. Omlin

We presented Bayesian portfolio selection strategy, via the $k$ factor asset pricing model. If the market is information efficient, the proposed strategy will mimic the market; otherwise, the strategy will outperform the market. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Sourish Das , Rituparna Sen

Many decision problems cannot be solved exactly and use several estimation algorithms that assign scores to the different available options. The estimation errors can have various correlations, from low (e.g. between two very different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Theo Delemazure , François Durand , Fabien Mathieu

We propose a general framework for statistical inference on the overall strengths of players in pairwise comparisons, allowing for potential shifts in the covariate distribution. These covariates capture important contextual information…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-10 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

Preference disaggregation methods in Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) often encounter challenges related to inconsistency and cognitive biases when deriving a value function from experts' holistic preferences. This paper introduces the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Matteo Brunelli , Fuqi Liang , Jafar Rezaei

This paper deals with the estimation of the unknown distribution of hidden random variables from the observation of pairwise comparisons between these variables. This problem is inspired by recent developments on Bradley-Terry models in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-27 Sylvain Le Corff , Matthieu Lerasle , Elodie Vernet

Ensembling is a popular method used to improve performance as a last resort. However, ensembling multiple models finetuned from a single pretrained model has been not very effective; this could be due to the lack of diversity among ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Sosuke Kobayashi , Shun Kiyono , Jun Suzuki , Kentaro Inui

Ensemble-based methods are highly popular approaches that increase the accuracy of a decision by aggregating the opinions of individual voters. The common point is to maximize accuracy; however, a natural limitation occurs if incremental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Andras Hajdu , Gyorgy Terdik , Attila Tiba , Henrietta Toman

Decision maker's preferences are often captured by some choice functions which are used to rank prospects. In this paper, we consider ambiguity in choice functions over a multi-attribute prospect space. Our main result is a robust…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-21 William B. Haskell , Wenjie Huang , Huifu Xu
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