English

Equilibrium Portfolio Selection under Utility-Variance Analysis of Log Returns in Incomplete Markets

Portfolio Management 2025-12-02 v2 Optimization and Control

Abstract

This paper investigates a time-inconsistent portfolio selection problem in the incomplete mar ket model, integrating expected utility maximization with risk control. The objective functional balances the expected utility and variance on log returns, giving rise to time inconsistency and motivating the search of a time-consistent equilibrium strategy. We characterize the equilibrium via a coupled quadratic backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) system and establish the existence theory in two special cases: (i)the two Brownian motions driven the price dynamics and the factor process are independent with ρ=0\rho = 0; (ii) the trading strategy is constrained to be bounded. For the general case with correlation coefficient ρ0\rho \neq 0, we introduce the notion of an approximate time-consistent equilibrium. Employing the solution structure from the equilibrium in the case ρ=0\rho = 0, we can construct an approximate time-consistent equilibrium in the general case with an error of order O(ρ2)O(\rho^2). Numerical examples and financial insights are also presented based on deep learning algorithms.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.05861,
  title  = {Equilibrium Portfolio Selection under Utility-Variance Analysis of Log Returns in Incomplete Markets},
  author = {Yue Cao and Zongxia Liang and Sheng Wang and Xiang Yu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.05861},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

Time inconsistent control, time-consistent equilibrium, quadratic BSDE system, approximate time-consistent equilibrium