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Related papers: Adversarial Observations in Weather Forecasting

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Operational weather prediction at kilometer scales remains computationally prohibitive for traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, limiting forecast access for applications in energy, agriculture, and disaster management that…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

The contribution of this paper is two-fold. First, we present ProbCast - a novel probabilistic model for multivariate time-series forecasting. We employ a conditional GAN framework to train our model with adversarial training. Second, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Alireza Koochali , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather models are improving rapidly, and their forecasts are already competitive with long-established traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). To build confidence in this new methodology, it is critical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-23 Kirsten I. Tempest , Matthias Beylich , George C. Craig

In recent years, AI-based weather forecasting models have matched or even outperformed numerical weather prediction systems. However, most of these models have been trained and evaluated on reanalysis datasets like ERA5. These datasets,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-17 Weixin Jin , Jonathan Weyn , Pengcheng Zhao , Siqi Xiang , Jiang Bian , Zuliang Fang , Haiyu Dong , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang

The UT GraphCast Hindcast Dataset from 1979 to 2024 is a comprehensive global weather forecast archive generated using the Google DeepMind GraphCast Operational model. Developed by researchers at The University of Texas at Austin under the…

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) centers around the world operate a variety of NWP models. In addition, recent advances in AI-driven NWP models have further increased the availability of NWP outputs. While this expansion holds the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Atsushi Kudo

Forecasting systems in science must be accurate, physically consistent, and certifiably reliable. Most existing models address prediction, constraint enforcement, and verification separately, limiting scalability and interpretability. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Regina Zhang , Zongru Li , Honggang Wen , Xiaofeng Liu , Siu-Ming Yiu , Pietro Liò , Kwok-Yan Lam

The classification of weather data involves categorizing meteorological phenomena into classes, thereby facilitating nuanced analyses and precise predictions for various sectors such as agriculture, aviation, and disaster management. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Elaheh Jafarigol , Theodore Trafalis

Not only can discovering patterns and insights from atmospheric data enable more accurate weather predictions, but it may also provide valuable information to help tackle climate change. Weather4cast is an open competition that aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Pak Hay Kwok , Qi Qi

Traffic forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems. Accurate forecasting relies on continuous observations collected by traffic sensors. However, due to high deployment and maintenance costs, not all regions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Xinyu Su , Majid Sarvi , Feng Liu , Egemen Tanin , Jianzhong Qi

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Xiaoyang Xu , Yiqun Liu , Hanqing Chao , Youcheng Luo , Hai Chu , Lei Chen , Junping Zhang , Leiming Ma

Climate change is intensifying rainfall extremes, making high-resolution precipitation projections crucial for society to better prepare for impacts such as flooding. However, current Global Climate Models (GCMs) operate at spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Ran Lyu , Linhan Wang , Yanshen Sun , Hedanqiu Bai , Chang-Tien Lu

Predicting precipitation maps is a highly complex spatiotemporal modeling task, critical for mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. Short-term precipitation forecasting, or nowcasting, requires models that are not only accurate…

The evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) has catalyzed a transformation in digital content generation, with profound implications for cyber influence operations. This report delves into the potential and limitations of generative deep…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Melanie Mathys , Marco Willi , Michael Graber , Raphael Meier

Extreme heat is the deadliest weather-related hazard in the United States. Furthermore, it is increasing in intensity, frequency, and duration, making skillful forecasts vital to protecting life and property. Traditional numerical weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Kelsey E. Ennis , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Marybeth C. Arcodia , Martin A. Fernandez , Eric D. Maloney

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

In this paper, a new task is proposed, namely, weather translation, which refers to transferring weather conditions of the image from one category to another. It is important for photographic style transfer. Although lots of approaches have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Xuelong Li , Kai Kou , Bin Zhao
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