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An intermediate response measure that accurately predicts efficacy in a new setting can reduce trial cost and time to product licensure. In this paper, we define a trial level general surrogate as a trial level intermediate response that…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-08 Erin E. Gabriel , Michael J. Daniels , M. Elizabeth Halloran

Surrogate models provide efficient alternatives to computationally demanding real world processes but often require large datasets for effective training. A promising solution to this limitation is the transfer of pre-trained surrogate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Shuaiqun Pan , Diederick Vermetten , Manuel López-Ibáñez , Thomas Bäck , Hao Wang

We propose a representation learning framework for medical diagnosis domain. It is based on heterogeneous network-based model of diagnostic data as well as modified metapath2vec algorithm for learning latent node representation. We compare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Karol Antczak

We study the identification and estimation of long-term treatment effects under unobserved confounding by combining an experimental sample, where the long-term outcome is missing, with an observational sample, where the treatment assignment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Ting-Chih Hung , Yu-Chang Chen

We propose a model-agnostic approach for mitigating the prediction bias of a black-box decision-maker, and in particular, a human decision-maker. Our method detects in the feature space where the black-box decision-maker is biased and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Tong Wang , Maytal Saar-Tsechansky

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

This paper presents a neural network--enhanced surrogate modeling approach for diffusion problems with spatially varying random field coefficients. The method builds on numerical homogenization, which compresses fine-scale coefficients into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Fabian Kröpfl , Daniel Peterseim , Elisabeth Ullmann

Clinical trials or studies oftentimes require long-term and/or costly follow-up of participants to evaluate a novel treatment/drug/vaccine. There has been increasing interest in the past few decades in using short-term surrogate outcomes as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 Xuan Wang , Tianxi Cai , Lu Tian , Layla Parast

Unsupervised heterogeneous graph representation learning (UHGRL) has gained increasing attention due to its significance in handling practical graphs without labels. However, heterophily has been largely ignored, despite its ubiquitous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Zhixiang Shen , Zhao Kang

Predicting the bioactivity of a ligand is one of the hardest and most important challenges in computer-aided drug discovery. Despite years of data collection and curation efforts by research organizations worldwide, bioactivity data remains…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-21 Lucian Chan , Marcel Verdonk , Carl Poelking

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen

Time series measured from real-world systems are generally noisy, complex and display statistical properties that evolve continuously over time. Here, we present a method that combines wavelet analysis and non-stationary surrogates to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-12 Mario Chavez , Bernard Cazelles

In many experimental and observational studies, the outcome of interest is often difficult or expensive to observe, reducing effective sample sizes for estimating average treatment effects (ATEs) even when identifiable. We study how…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao

Anomaly detection in time-series has a wide range of practical applications. While numerous anomaly detection methods have been proposed in the literature, a recent survey concluded that no single method is the most accurate across various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mononito Goswami , Cristian Challu , Laurent Callot , Lenon Minorics , Andrey Kan

Simulation-based problems involving mixed-variable inputs frequently feature domains that are hierarchical, conditional, heterogeneous, or tree-structured. These characteristics pose challenges for data representation, modeling, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Paul Saves , Edward Hallé-Hannan , Jasper Bussemaker , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli

In biomedical research, to obtain more accurate prediction results from a target study, leveraging information from multiple similar source studies is proved to be useful. However, in many biomedical applications based on real-world data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Xiaokang Liu , Jie Hu , Naimin Jing , Yang Ning , Cheng Yong Tang , Runze Li , Yong Chen

Random-effects meta-analyses are widely used for evidence synthesis in medical research. However, conventional methods based on large-sample approximations often exhibit poor performance in case of very few studies (e.g., 2 to 4), which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Ao Huang , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Addressing real-world optimization challenges requires not only advanced metaheuristics but also continuous refinement of their internal mechanisms. This paper explores the integration of machine learning in the form of neural surrogate…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tomohiro Harada , Enrique Alba , Gabriel Luque

Hypothesis testing based on surrogate data has emerged as a popular way to test the null hypothesis that a signal is a realization of a linear stochastic process. Typically, this is done by generating surrogates which are made to conform to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-08-12 Diego Guarin , Alvaro Orozco , Edilson Delgado