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The method of surrogate data provides a framework for testing observed data against a hierarchy of alternative hypotheses. The aim of applying this method is to exclude the possibility that the data are consistent with simple linear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Xiaodong Luo , Jie Zhang , Junfeng Sun , Michael Small , Irene Moroz

The identification of surrogate markers is motivated by their potential to make decisions sooner about a treatment effect. However, few methods have been developed to actually use a surrogate marker to test for a treatment effect in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Layla Parast , Jay Bartroff

Surrogate models provide compact relations between user-defined input parameters and output quantities of interest, enabling the efficient evaluation of complex parametric systems in many-query settings. Such capabilities are essential in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Matteo Giacomini , Pedro Díez

Surrogate markers are often employed in clinical trials to replace primary outcomes that may be difficult, expensive, or time-consuming to measure directly. These markers can accelerate the evaluation of new treatments, provided they…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Pietro Carlotti , Layla Parast

Efficient surrogate modelling is a key requirement for uncertainty quantification in data-driven scenarios. In this work, a novel approach of using Sparse Random Features for surrogate modelling in combination with self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Maternus Herold , Anna Veselovska , Jonas Jehle , Felix Krahmer

Metaheuristic search algorithms look for solutions that either maximise or minimise a set of objectives, such as cost or performance. However most real-world optimisation problems consist of nonlinear problems with complex constraints and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Manjinder Singh , Alexander E. I. Brownlee , David Cairns

We investigate the effectiveness of a simple solution to the common problem of deep learning in medical image analysis with limited quantities of labeled training data. The underlying idea is to assign artificial labels to abundantly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Nima Tajbakhsh , Yufei Hu , Junli Cao , Xingjian Yan , Yi Xiao , Yong Lu , Jianming Liang , Demetri Terzopoulos , Xiaowei Ding

In meta-analytic modeling, the functional relationship between a primary and surrogate endpoint is estimated using summary data from a set of completed clinical trials. Parameters in the meta-analytic model are used to assess the quality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 James P. Long , Abhishikta Roy , Ehsan Irajizad , Kim-Anh Do , Yu Shen

This paper introduces a novel two-stage machine learning-based surrogate modeling framework to address inverse problems in scientific and engineering fields. In the first stage of the proposed framework, a machine learning model termed the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Evan J. Pineda , Brett A. Bednarcyk , Scott E. Stapleton

Trial level surrogates are useful tools for improving the speed and cost effectiveness of trials, but surrogates that have not been properly evaluated can cause misleading results. The evaluation procedure is often contextual and depends on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Michael C Sachs , Erin E Gabriel , Alessio Crippa , Michael J Daniels

The use of valid surrogate endpoints is an important stake in clinical research to help reduce both the duration and cost of a clinical trial and speed up the evaluation of interesting treatments. Several methods have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Quentin Le Coent , Virginie Rondeau , Catherine Legrand

Recently, neural surrogate models have emerged as a compelling alternative to traditional simulation workflows. This is accomplished by modeling the underlying function of scientific simulations, removing the need to run expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Xiaohan Wang , Zhimin Li , Joshua A. Levine , Matthew Berger

The need to evaluate treatment effectiveness is ubiquitous in most of empirical science, and interest in flexibly investigating effect heterogeneity is growing rapidly. To do so, a multitude of model-agnostic, nonparametric meta-learners…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Alicia Curth , Mihaela van der Schaar

Estimating the long-term effects of treatments is of interest in many fields. A common challenge in estimating such treatment effects is that long-term outcomes are unobserved in the time frame needed to make policy decisions. One approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-23 Susan Athey , Raj Chetty , Guido Imbens , Hyunseung Kang

It is not uncommon that meta-heuristic algorithms contain some intrinsic parameters, the optimal configuration of which is crucial for achieving their peak performance. However, evaluating the effectiveness of a configuration is expensive,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Ke Li , Zilin Xiang , Kay Chen Tan

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Objective: Deep learning-based deformable image registration has achieved strong accuracy, but remains sensitive to variations in input image characteristics such as artifacts, field-of-view mismatch, or modality difference. We aim to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Yihao Liu , Junyu Chen , Lianrui Zuo , Shuwen Wei , Brian D. Boyd , Carmen Andreescu , Olusola Ajilore , Warren D. Taylor , Aaron Carass , Bennett A. Landman

We consider the task of meta-analysis in high-dimensional settings in which the data sources are similar but non-identical. To borrow strength across such heterogeneous datasets, we introduce a global parameter that emphasizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Subha Maity , Yuekai Sun , Moulinath Banerjee

In modern clinical trials, there is immense pressure to use surrogate markers in place of an expensive or long-term primary outcome to make more timely decisions about treatment effectiveness. However, using a surrogate marker to test for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Rebecca Knowlton , Layla Parast

The performance of recurrence networks and symbolic networks to detect weak nonlinearities in time series is compared to the nonlinear prediction error. For the synthetic data of the Lorenz system, the network measures show a comparable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-07-09 Ingo Laut , Christoph Räth