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Correlated outcomes are common in many practical problems. In some settings, one outcome is of particular interest, and others are auxiliary. To leverage information shared by all the outcomes, traditional multi-task learning (MTL)…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-23 Muxuan Liang , Jaeyoung Park , Qing Lu , Xiang Zhong

One fundamental statistical question for research areas such as precision medicine and health disparity is about discovering effect modification of treatment or exposure by observed covariates. We propose a semiparametric framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Muxuan Liang , Menggang Yu

This paper describes how to analyze the influence of Earth system variables on the errors when providing temperature forecasts. The initial framework to get the data has been based on previous research work, which resulted in a very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 M. Julia Flores , Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez , Ana Bastos , René Orth

Lasso is a popular and efficient approach to simultaneous estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional regression models. In this paper, a robust LAD-lasso method for multiple outcomes is presented that addresses the challenges of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Jyrki Möttönen , Tero Lähderanta , Janne Salonen , Mikko J. Sillanpää

Aggregate outcome variables collected through surveys and administrative records are often subject to systematic measurement error. For instance, in disaster loss databases, county-level losses reported may differ from the true damages due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Saketh Vishnubhatla , Shu Wan , Andre Harrison , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

In many real-world applications, from robotics to pedestrian trajectory prediction, there is a need to predict multiple real-valued outputs to represent several potential scenarios. Current deep learning techniques to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 David D. Nguyen , David Liebowitz , Surya Nepal , Salil S. Kanhere

Recent research increasingly integrates machine learning (ML) into predictive maintenance (PdM) to reduce operational and maintenance costs in data-rich operational settings. However, uncertainty due to model misspecification continues to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Zhuojun Xie , Adam Abdin , Yiping Fang

Machine learning applications frequently come with multiple diverse objectives and constraints that can change over time. Accordingly, trained models can be tuned with sets of hyper-parameters that affect their predictive behavior (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Bracha Laufer-Goldshtein , Adam Fisch , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

The impact of an extreme climate event depends strongly on its geographical scale. Max-stable processes can be used for the statistical investigation of climate extremes and their spatial dependencies on a continuous area. Most existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Justus Contzen , Thorsten Dickhaus , Gerrit Lohmann

The health effects of environmental exposures have been studied for decades, typically using standard regression models to assess exposure-outcome associations found in observational non-experimental data. We propose and illustrate a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-20 Marie-Abele C. Bind , Donald B. Rubin

Studies that collect multi-outcome data such as tobacco and alcohol use are becoming increasingly common. In principle, multi-outcomes studies investigate the correlations between outcomes, including, causal links and/or joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 George G. Vega Yon , Mary Jo Pugh , Thomas W. Valente

In the context of cluster analysis and graph partitioning, many external evaluation measures have been proposed in the literature to compare two partitions of the same set. This makes the task of selecting the most appropriate measure for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Nejat Arinik , Vincent Labatut , Rosa Figueiredo

Typical causal effects are defined based on the marginal distribution of potential outcomes. However, many real-world applications require causal estimands involving the joint distribution of potential outcomes to enable more nuanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Peng Wu , Xiaojie Mao

This paper frames a general prediction system as an observer traveling around a continuous space, measuring values at some locations, and predicting them at others. The observer is completely agnostic about any particular task being solved;…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

This article focuses on making discrete-time Adaptive Iterative Learning Control (ILC) more effective using multiple estimation models. Existing strategies use the tracking error to adjust the parametric estimates. Our strategy uses the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-14 Ram Padmanabhan , Rajini Makam , Koshy George

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Classical field forecast evaluation relies mainly on local scores such as RMSE or MAE. These metrics severely over-penalize small spatial or temporal displacements of coherent structures, a limitation known as the double-penalty issue and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-20 Cyril Voyant

We present a novel approach, referred to as the 'threshold shift method' (TSM), for reliability based design optimization (RBDO). The proposed approach is similar in spirit with the sequential optimization and reliability analysis (SORA)…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2019-04-26 Somdatta Goswami , Souvik Chakraborty , Rajib Chowdhury , Timon Rabczuk

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen
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