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In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

We study causal inference in experiments and quasi-experiments, where the economic outcome is imperfectly measured by a remotely sensed variable. The remotely sensed variable is low-cost, scalable, and predictive of the economic outcome in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Ashesh Rambachan , Rahul Singh , Davide Viviano

Mutual information is fundamentally important for measuring statistical dependence between variables and for quantifying information transfer by signaling and communication mechanisms. It can, however, be challenging to evaluate for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Clive G. Bowsher , Margaritis Voliotis

Machine learning systems increasingly depend on pipelines of multiple algorithms to provide high quality and well structured predictions. This paper argues interaction effects between clustering and prediction (e.g. classification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-01 Matt Barnes , Artur Dubrawski

Spatial econometric research typically relies on the assumption that the spatial dependence structure is known in advance and is represented by a deterministic spatial weights matrix. Contrary to classical approaches, we investigate the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-24 Miryam S. Merk , Philipp Otto

Diagnosis is often based on the exceedance or not of continuous health indicators of a predefined cut-off value, so as to classify patients into positives and negatives for the disease under investigation. In this paper, we investigate the…

In this paper, we focus on the problem of statistical dependence estimation using characteristic functions. We propose a statistical dependence measure, based on the maximum-norm of the difference between joint and product-marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Povilas Daniušis , Shubham Juneja , Lukas Kuzma , Virginijus Marcinkevičius

Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) randomly assign an intervention to groups of individuals (e.g., clinics or communities) and measure outcomes on individuals in those groups. While offering many advantages, this experimental design…

Typically, machine learning models are trained and evaluated without making any distinction between users (e.g, using traditional hold-out and cross-validation). However, this produces inaccurate performance metrics estimates in multi-user…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Enrique Garcia-Ceja , Luciano Garcia-Banuelos , Nicolas Jourdan

We use p-values as a discrepancy criterion for identifying the threshold value at which a regression function takes off from its baseline value -- a problem that is motivated by applications in omics experiments, systems engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-26 Bodhisattva Sen , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michialidis

Due to the well-known computational showstopper of the exact Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for large geospatial observations, a variety of approximation methods have been proposed in the literature, which usually require tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Yiping Hong , Sameh Abdulah , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun

This study concentrates on clustering problems and aims to find compact clusters that are informative regarding the outcome variable. The main goal is partitioning data points so that observations in each cluster are similar and the outcome…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-01-27 Zahra Ghasemi , Hadi Akbarzadeh Khorshidi , Uwe Aickelin

A growing number of applications involve settings where, in order to infer heterogeneous effects, a researcher compares various units. Examples of research designs include children moving between different neighborhoods, workers moving…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-03 Stephane Bonhomme , Angela Denis

Epidemiologists commonly use regional aggregates of health outcomes to map mortality or incidence rates and identify geographic disparities. However, to detect health disparities across regions, it is necessary to identify "difference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-14 Luca Aiello , Sudipto Banerjee

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Effect modification occurs when the effect of the treatment on an outcome differs according to the level of a third variable (the effect modifier, EM). A natural way to assess effect modification is by subgroup analysis or include the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Asma Bahamyirou , Mireille E. Schnitzer , Edward H. Kennedy , Lucie Blais , Yi Yang

Area-level models for small area estimation typically rely on areal random effects to shrink design-based direct estimates towards a model-based predictor. Incorporating the spatial dependence of the random effects into these models can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sho Kawano , Paul A. Parker , Zehang Richard Li

There are many data sources available that report related variables of interest that are also referenced over geographic regions and time; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that one can readily use that…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-05 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

This study aims to optimize the evaluation metric of multimodal multi-objective optimization problems using a Regionalized Metric Framework, which provides a certain boost to research in this field. Existing evaluation metrics usually use…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jintai Chen , Fangqing Liu , Xueming Yan , Han Huang

In this survey, we present and compare different approaches to estimate Mutual Information (MI) from data to analyse general dependencies between variables of interest in a system. We demonstrate the performance difference of MI versus…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-18 D. Gencaga , N. K. Malakar , D. J. Lary