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Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Results are reported concerning the formation of spatial patterns in the two-species ratio-dependent predator-prey model driven by spatial colored-noise. The results show that there is a critical value with respect to the intensity of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Quan-Xing Liu , Zhen Jin

Capturing the structure of a data-generating process by means of appropriate inductive biases can help in learning models that generalize well and are robust to changes in the input distribution. While methods that harness spatial and…

Data with spatial-temporal attributes are prevalent across many research fields, and statistical models for analyzing spatio-temporal relationships are widely used. Existing reviews focus either on specific domains or model types, creating…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Isabella Habereder , Thomas Kneib , Isao Echizen , Timo Spinde

We revisit a recent claim that the Earth's climate system is characterized by sensitive dependence to parameters; in particular, that the system exhibits an asymmetric, large-amplitude response to normally distributed feedback forcing. Such…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-01-13 Ilya Zaliapin , Michael Ghil

Theories of localised pattern formation are important to understand a broad range of natural patterns, but are less well-understood than more established mechanisms of domain-filling pattern formation. Here, we extend recent work on pattern…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-07-22 Andrew L. Krause , Václav Klika , Edgardo Villar-Sepúlveda , Alan R. Champneys , Eamonn A. Gaffney

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can provide mechanistic models of temporally local changes of processes, where parameters are often informed by external knowledge. While ODEs are popular in systems modeling, they are less established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Maren Hackenberg , Astrid Pechmann , Clemens Kreutz , Janbernd Kirschner , Harald Binder

With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

Extreme environmental events such as severe storms, drought, heat waves, flash floods, and abrupt species collapse have become more prevalent in the earth-atmosphere dynamic system in recent years. In order to fully understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Myungsoo Yoo , Likun Zhang , Christopher K. Wikle , Thomas Opitz

Biological systems excel at building spatial structures on scales ranging from nanometers to kilometers and exhibit temporal patterning from milliseconds to years. One approach that nature has taken to accomplish this relies on the…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Herbert Levine , Eshel Ben-Jacob

Observability is a modelling property that describes the possibility of inferring the internal state of a system from observations of its output. A related property, structural identifiability, refers to the theoretical possibility of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-12 Alejandro F. Villaverde

Deep structured models are widely used for tasks like semantic segmentation, where explicit correlations between variables provide important prior information which generally helps to reduce the data needs of deep nets. However, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Colin Graber , Ofer Meshi , Alexander Schwing

Dynamical coherent structure (pattern) formation in the Klein-Gordon lattice excited by periodic external field near the optical resonance is studied. It is shown that besides spatial patterns discovered recently (V.M.Burlakov,…

patt-sol · Physics 2009-10-31 Victor M. Burlakov

We identify a mechanism for biological spatial pattern formation arising when the signals that mediate interactions between individuals in a population have pulsed character. Our general population-signal framework shows that while for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-15 Eduardo H. Colombo , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García

This paper thoroughly investigates a range of popular DE configurations to identify components responsible for the emergence of structural bias - recently identified tendency of the algorithm to prefer some regions of the search space for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Fabio Caraffini , Anna V. Kononova , David Corne

Real-world systems are often complex, dynamic, and nonlinear. Understanding the dynamics of a system from its observed time series is key to the prediction and control of the system's behavior. While most existing techniques tacitly assume…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-19 Bing Wang , Jie Sun , Adilson E. Motter

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Mathematical models of real life phenomena are highly nonlinear involving multiple parameters and often exhibiting complex dynamics. Experimental data sets are typically small and noisy, rendering estimation of parameters from such data…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-05-11 Abhirup Ghosh , Samit Bhattacharyya , Somdatta Sinha , Amit Apte

The analysis of spatio-temporal data has been the object of research in several areas of knowledge. One of the main objectives of such research is the need to evaluate the behavior of climate effects in certain regions across a period of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 David H. da Matta , Mariana R. Motta , Nancy L. Garcia , Alexandre B. Heinemann