Related papers: Is model selection possible for the $\ell_p$-loss?…
In this paper we introduce a nonuniform sparsity model and analyze the performance of an optimized weighted $\ell_1$ minimization over that sparsity model. In particular, we focus on a model where the entries of the unknown vector fall into…
We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…
We derive asymptotic properties of penalized estimators for singular models for which identifiability may break and the true parameter values can lie on the boundary of the parameter space. Selection consistency of the estimators is also…
P-splines are penalized B-splines, in which finite order differences in coefficients are typically penalized with an $\ell_2$ norm. P-splines can be used for semiparametric regression and can include random effects to account for…
The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…
In this paper, we address the problem of estimating a multidimensional density $f$ by using indirect observations from the statistical model $Y=X+\varepsilon$. Here, $\varepsilon$ is a measurement error independent of the random vector $X$…
We propose an $\ell_1$-penalized estimator for high-dimensional models of Expected Shortfall (ES). The estimator is obtained as the solution to a least-squares problem for an auxiliary dependent variable, which is defined as a…
We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects…
This paper considers the penalized least squares estimator with arbitrary convex penalty. When the observation noise is Gaussian, we show that the prediction error is a subgaussian random variable concentrated around its median. We apply…
We consider a multivariate finite mixture of Gaussian regression models for high-dimensional data, where the number of covariates and the size of the response may be much larger than the sample size. We provide an $\ell_1$-oracle inequality…
We consider the problem of estimating the unconditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure resulting from first selecting a model (e.g., by…
Recent work in unsupervised representation learning has focused on learning deep directed latent-variable models. Fitting these models by maximizing the marginal likelihood or evidence is typically intractable, thus a common approximation…
Let $Y$ be a Gaussian vector whose components are independent with a common unknown variance. We consider the problem of estimating the mean $\mu$ of $Y$ by model selection. More precisely, we start with a collection…
We address the new problem of estimating a piece-wise constant signal with the purpose of detecting its change points and the levels of clusters. Our approach is to model it as a nonparametric penalized least square model selection on a…
The evidence lower bound (ELBO) is one of the most central objectives for probabilistic unsupervised learning. For the ELBOs of several generative models and model classes, we here prove convergence to entropy sums. As one result, we…
We study least squares linear regression over $N$ uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features $p$ is at most the sample size $n$, the estimator under consideration…
We present a new method for post-selection inference for L1 (lasso)-penalized likelihood models, including generalized regression models. Our approach generalizes the post-selection framework presented in Lee et al (2014). The method…
In this article, we investigate large sample properties of model selection procedures in a general Bayesian framework when a closed form expression of the marginal likelihood function is not available or a local asymptotic quadratic…
We consider nonlinear mixed effects models including high-dimensional covariates to model individual parameters variability. The objective is to identify relevant covariates among a large set under sparsity assumption and to estimate model…
Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…