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Earnings calls are hosted by management of public companies to discuss the company's financial performance with analysts and investors. Information disclosed during an earnings call is an essential source of data for analysts and investors…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-04 Zhiqiang Ma , Grace Bang , Chong Wang , Xiaomo Liu

Financial market analysis has focused primarily on extracting signals from accounting, stock price, and other numerical hard data reported in P&L statements or earnings per share reports. Yet, it is well-known that the decision-makers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-24 Sourav Medya , Mohammad Rasoolinejad , Yang Yang , Brian Uzzi

Earnings calls represent a uniquely rich and semi-structured source of financial communication, blending scripted managerial commentary with unscripted analyst dialogue. Although recent advances in financial sentiment analysis have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Alejandro Álvarez Castro , Joaquín Ordieres-Meré

Predicting corporate earnings surprises is a profitable yet challenging task, as accurate forecasts can inform significant investment decisions. However, progress in this domain has been constrained by a reliance on expensive, proprietary,…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Dong Shu , Yanguang Liu , Huopu Zhang , Mengnan Du

Information asymmetry in financial markets, often amplified by strategically crafted corporate narratives, undermines the effectiveness of conventional textual analysis. We propose a novel multimodal framework for financial risk assessment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xiaoliang Chen , Xin Yu , Le Chang , Teng Jing , Jiashuai He , Ze Wang , Yangjun Luo , Xingyu Chen , Jiayue Liang , Yuchen Wang , Jiaying Xie

Stock volatility prediction is an important task in the financial industry. Recent advancements in multimodal methodologies, which integrate both textual and auditory data, have demonstrated significant improvements in this domain, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Shengkun Wang , Taoran Ji , Jianfeng He , Mariam Almutairi , Dan Wang , Linhan Wang , Min Zhang , Chang-Tien Lu

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

In the realm of financial analytics, leveraging unstructured data, such as earnings conference calls (ECCs), to forecast stock volatility is a critical challenge that has attracted both academics and investors. While previous studies have…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Yupeng Cao , Zhi Chen , Qingyun Pei , Nathan Jinseok Lee , K. P. Subbalakshmi , Papa Momar Ndiaye

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Every fiscal quarter, companies hold earnings calls in which company executives respond to questions from analysts. After these calls, analysts often change their price target recommendations, which are used in equity research reports to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Katherine A. Keith , Amanda Stent

Multimodal stock trading volume movement prediction with stock-related news is one of the fundamental problems in the financial area. Existing multimodal works that train models from scratch face the problem of lacking universal knowledge…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Ruibo Chen , Zhiyuan Zhang , Yi Liu , Ruihan Bao , Keiko Harimoto , Xu Sun

Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

Earnings calls influence stock prices and are traditionally analyzed using sentiment and linguistic traces. Our research introduces a "Topic-Switching Index," a novel metric quantified through the transformer model FinBERT, to measure…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Xuan Zhou , Yushen Huang

Classical asset price forecasting methods primarily rely on numerical data, such as price time series, trading volumes, limit order book data, and technical analysis indicators. However, the news flow plays a significant role in price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov

A major source of information can be taken from financial news articles, which have some correlations about the fluctuation of stock trends. In this paper, we investigate the influences of financial news on the stock trends, from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Yiqi Deng , Siu Ming Yiu

Text and time series data offer complementary views of financial markets: news articles provide narrative context about company events, while stock prices reflect how markets react to those events. However, despite their complementary…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Ross Koval , Nicholas Andrews , Xifeng Yan

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

Financial forecasting has been an important and active area of machine learning research because of the challenges it presents and the potential rewards that even minor improvements in prediction accuracy or forecasting may entail.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Linyi Yang , Jiazheng Li , Ruihai Dong , Yue Zhang , Barry Smyth

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen
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