English

Towards Earnings Call and Stock Price Movement

Statistical Finance 2020-09-04 v1 Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science Computation and Language Machine Learning

Abstract

Earnings calls are hosted by management of public companies to discuss the company's financial performance with analysts and investors. Information disclosed during an earnings call is an essential source of data for analysts and investors to make investment decisions. Thus, we leverage earnings call transcripts to predict future stock price dynamics. We propose to model the language in transcripts using a deep learning framework, where an attention mechanism is applied to encode the text data into vectors for the discriminative network classifier to predict stock price movements. Our empirical experiments show that the proposed model is superior to the traditional machine learning baselines and earnings call information can boost the stock price prediction performance.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2009.01317,
  title  = {Towards Earnings Call and Stock Price Movement},
  author = {Zhiqiang Ma and Grace Bang and Chong Wang and Xiaomo Liu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2009.01317},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

Accepted by KDD 2020 MLF workshop