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We explore the use of non homogenous noise kernels in Gaussian process modelling to improve the potential energy curve models describing stochastic electronic structure data. We use the same noise kernels on energy curves describing…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-01-02 Fabio E. A. Albertani , Alex J. W. Thom

Ice cores provide insight into the past climate over many millennia. Due to ice compaction, the raw data for any single core are irregular in time. Multiple cores have different irregularities; jointly these series are misaligned. After…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-23 Thinh K. Doan , Andrew C. Parnell , John Haslett

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

Impact localisation on composite aircraft structures remains a significant challenge due to operational and environmental uncertainties, such as variations in temperature, impact mass, and energy levels. This study proposes a novel Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Dong Xiao , Zahra Sharif-Khodaei , M. H. Aliabadi

A unified framework for analyzing generalized synchronization in coupled chaotic systems from data is proposed. The key of the proposed approach is the use of the kernel methods recently developed in the field of machine learning. Several…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Hiromichi Suetani , Yukito Iba , Kazuyuki Aihara

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a versatile method that enables different approaches towards learning for dynamics and control. Gaussianity assumptions appear in two dimensions in GPs: The positive semi-definite kernel of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 T. Faulwasser , O. Molodchyk

Regularized least-squares (kernel-ridge / Gaussian process) regression is a fundamental algorithm of statistics and machine learning. Because generic algorithms for the exact solution have cubic complexity in the number of datapoints, large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Simon Bartels , Philipp Hennig

This paper is concerned with the problem of how to speed up computation for Gaussian process models trained on autocorrelated data. The Gaussian process model is a powerful tool commonly used in nonlinear regression applications. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Ahmadreza Chokhachian , Matthias Katzfuss , Yu Ding

Normative and task-driven theories offer powerful top-down explanations for biological systems, yet the goals of quantitatively arbitrating between competing theories, and utilizing them as inductive biases to improve data-driven fits of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Bahti Zakirov , Gašper Tkačik

Functional data describe a wide range of processes, such as growth curves and spectral absorption. In this study, we analyze air pollution data from the In-service Aircraft for a Global Observing System, focusing on the spatial interactions…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Rita Fici , Gianluca Sottile , Luigi Augugliaro , Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

In this paper we investigate a link between state- space models and Gaussian Processes (GP) for time series modeling and forecasting. In particular, several widely used state- space models are transformed into continuous time form and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-27 Alexander Grigorievskiy , Juha Karhunen

Observables of out-of-equilibrium quantum many-body systems display complex temporal behavior that encodes the underlying physical mechanisms but typically resists straightforward interpretations. We introduce recurrence analysis - a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Tomasz Szołdra , Matheus S. Palmero , Peter Schmelcher

Motivated by the problem of predicting sleep states, we develop a mixed effects model for binary time series with a stochastic component represented by a Gaussian process. The fixed component captures the effects of covariates on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Xu Gao , Babak Shahbaba , Hernando Ombao

We consider a Gaussian process formulation of the multiple kernel learning problem. The goal is to select the convex combination of kernel matrices that best explains the data and by doing so improve the generalisation on unseen data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-25 Cedric Archambeau , Francis Bach

In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-21 Diego Sevilla

In this paper, we analyze Gaussian processes using statistical mechanics. Although the input is originally multidimensional, we simplify our model by considering the input as one-dimensional for statistical mechanical analysis. Furthermore,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-05 Jun Tsuzurugi

Periodicity is often studied in timeseries modelling with autoregressive methods but is less popular in the kernel literature, particularly for higher dimensional problems such as in textures, crystallography, and quantum mechanics. Large…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Anthony Tompkins , Fabio Ramos

Systems of interacting random replicators are studied using generating functional techniques. While replica analyses of such models are limited to systems with symmetric couplings, dynamical approaches as presented here allow specifically…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Tobias Galla

We propose a Bayesian tensor regression model to accommodate the effect of multiple factors on phenotype prediction. We adopt a set of prior distributions that resolve identifiability issues that may arise between the parameters in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Antonia A. L. Dos Santos , Danilo A. Sarti , Rafael A. Moral , Andrew C. Parnell
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