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This study introduces an innovative Gaussian Process (GP) model utilizing an ensemble kernel that integrates Radial Basis Function (RBF), Rational Quadratic, and Mat\'ern kernels for product sales forecasting. By applying Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Shahin Mirshekari , Negin Hayeri Motedayen , Mohammad Ensaf

Gaussian process regression is a widespread tool used to mitigate stellar correlated noise in radial velocity time series. It is particularly useful to search for and determine the properties of signals induced by small-size, low-mass…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-21 M. Damasso , M. Pinamonti , G. Scandariato , A. Sozzetti

Gaussian processes are now commonly used in dimensionality reduction approaches tailored to neuroscience, especially to describe changes in high-dimensional neural activity over time. As recording capabilities expand to include neuronal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-24 Evren Gokcen , Anna I. Jasper , Adam Kohn , Christian K. Machens , Byron M. Yu

Particle dynamics and multi-agent systems provide accurate dynamical models for studying and forecasting the behavior of complex interacting systems. They often take the form of a high-dimensional system of differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Yuxuan Liu , Scott G. McCalla , Hayden Schaeffer

Rhythmic phenomena, which are ubiquitous in biological systems, are typically modelled as systems of coupled limit cycle oscillators. Recently, there has been an increased interest in understanding the impact of higher-order interactions on…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-19 Weiwei Su , Shigefumi Hata , Hiroshi Kori , Hiroya Nakao , Ryota Kobayashi

In recent years, there has been considerable interest in developing machine learning models on graphs to account for topological inductive biases. In particular, recent attention has been given to Gaussian processes on such structures since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Mathieu Alain , So Takao , Brooks Paige , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Inference in popular nonparametric Bayesian models typically relies on sampling or other approximations. This paper presents a general methodology for constructing novel tractable nonparametric Bayesian methods by applying the kernel trick…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-08-15 Ferenc Huszár , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Investigating the relationship, particularly the lead-lag effect, between time series is a common question across various disciplines, especially when uncovering biological process. However, analyzing time series presents several…

We propose a kernel mixture of polynomials prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The regression function is modeled by local averages of polynomials with kernel mixture weights. We obtain the minimax-optimal rate of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

The expressive power of Bayesian kernel-based methods has led them to become an important tool across many different facets of artificial intelligence, and useful to a plethora of modern application domains, providing both power and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Luca Martino , Jesse Read

Linear regression and classification methods with repeated functional data are considered. For each statistical unit in the sample, a real-valued parameter is observed over time under different conditions related by some neighborhood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Issam-Ali Moindjié , Cristian Preda , Sophie Dabo-Niang

Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

We propose a Bayesian covariate-dependent anti-logistic circadian model for analyzing activity data collected via wrist-worn wearable devices. The proposed approach integrates covariates into the modeling of the amplitude and phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Vaishnav Krishnan , Marina Vannucci

The identification of the constrained dynamics of mechanical systems is often challenging. Learning methods promise to ease an analytical analysis, but require considerable amounts of data for training. We propose to combine insights from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 A. Rene Geist , Sebastian Trimpe

The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to large data sets is limited due to heavy memory and computational requirements. A variety of methods has been proposed to enable scalability, one of which is to exploit structure in the kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Jan Graßhoff , Alexandra Jankowski , Philipp Rostalski

Objective: We present a technique for identification and statistical analysis of quasiperiodic spatiotemporal pressure signals recorded from multiple closely spaced sensors in the human colon. Methods: Identification is achieved by…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-06 Lukasz Wiklendt , Marcello Costa , Simon Brookes , Phil G. Dinning

There is significant interest in learning and optimizing a complex system composed of multiple sub-components, where these components may be agents or autonomous sensors. Among the rich literature on this topic, agent-based and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Kai Wang , Bryan Wilder , Sze-chuan Suen , Bistra Dilkina , Milind Tambe

Time series with multiple periodically correlated components is a complex problem with comparatively limited prior research. Most existing time series models are designed to accommodate simple periodically correlated components and tend to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-29 Jie Yao , Kai Zhang , Eric Rose , Edward Valachovic

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Neil Lawrence , Kolja Becker

A general phase reduction method for a network of coupled dynamical elements exhibiting collective oscillations, which is applicable to arbitrary networks of heterogeneous dynamical elements, is developed. A set of coupled adjoint equations…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-04-04 Hiroya Nakao , Sho Yasui , Masashi Ota , Kensuke Arai , Yoji Kawamura