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Precipitation extremes intensify in most regions in climate-model projections. Changes in vertical velocities contribute to the changes in intensity of precipitation extremes but remain poorly understood. Here, we find that mid-tropospheric…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Ziwei Li , Paul O'Gorman

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

In this paper, we predict severity of extreme weather events (tropical storms, hurricanes, etc.) using buoy data time series variables such as wind speed and air temperature. The prediction/forecasting method is based on various forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-21 Vikas Ramachandra

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Weather extremes produce major impacts on society and ecosystems and are likely to change in likelihood and magnitude with climate change. However, very low probability events are hard to characterize statistically using observations or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Christopher J. Paciorek , Daniel Cooley

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

A promising method for improving the representation of clouds in climate models, and hence climate projections, is to develop machine learning-based parameterizations using output from global storm-resolving models. While neural networks…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Pierre Gentine , Veronika Eyring

Rapid changes in climatic conditions threaten both socioeconomic and ecological systems, as these might not be able to adapt or to migrate at the same pace as that of global warming. In particular, an increase of weather and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Joan Rey , Guillaume Rohat , Marjorie Perroud , Stéphane Goyette , Jérôme Kasparian

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

Detection of thunderstorms is important to the wind hazard community to better understand extreme winds field characteristics and associated wind induced load effects on structures. This paper contributes to this effort by proposing a new…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-02 Monica Arul , Ahsan Kareem

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

Modelling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for instance when allocating emergency management funds. In statistics, multivariate extreme value theory is often used to model spatial extremes.…

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Weather and climate simulations produce petabytes of high-resolution data that are later analyzed by researchers in order to understand climate change or severe weather. We propose a new method of compressing this multidimensional weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Langwen Huang , Torsten Hoefler

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Konstantin Klemmer , Sudipan Saha , Matthias Kahl , Tianlin Xu , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Many environmental processes such as rainfall, wind or snowfall are inherently spatial and the modelling of extremes has to take into account that feature. In addition, environmental processes are often attached with an angle, e.g., wind…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Gaspard Tamagny , Mathieu Ribatet

Modern air vehicles perform a wide range of operations, including transportation, defense, surveillance, and rescue. These aircraft can fly in calm conditions but avoid operations in gusty environments, encountered in urban canyons, over…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-08 Kai Fukami , Kunihiko Taira

Electricity networks are vulnerable to weather damage, with severe events often leading to faults and power outages. Timely forecasts of fault occurrences, ranging from nowcasts to several days ahead, can enhance preparedness, support…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Mateus Maia , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Jethro Browell

Extreme sea level estimates are fundamental for mitigating against coastal flooding as they provide insight for defence engineering. As the global climate changes, rising sea levels combined with increases in storm intensity and frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A. Tawn
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