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Partially observed Markov process (POMP) models are powerful tools for time series modeling and analysis. Inherited the flexible framework of R package pomp, the is2 package extends some useful Monte Carlo statistical methodologies to…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-08 Duc Anh Doan , Dao Nguyen , Xin Dang

In the analysis of survey data, sampling weights are needed for consistent estimation of the population. However, the original inverse probability weights from the survey sample design are typically modified to account for non-response, to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-19 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

This paper examines the foundational concept of random variables in probability theory and statistical inference, demonstrating that their mathematical definition requires no reference to randomization or hypothetical repeated sampling. We…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-02-11 Paul W. Vos

Nonparametric partitioning-based least squares regression is an important tool in empirical work. Common examples include regressions based on splines, wavelets, and piecewise polynomials. This article discusses the main methodological and…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-29 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

How should social scientists understand and communicate the uncertainty of statistically estimated causal effects? I propose we utilize the posterior distribution of a causal effect and present the probability of the effect being greater…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-15 Akisato Suzuki

Big data presents potential but unresolved value as a source for analysis and inference. However,selection bias, present in many of these datasets, needs to be accounted for so that appropriate inferences can be made on the target…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

Network surveys of key populations at risk for HIV are an essential part of the effort to understand how the epidemic spreads and how it can be prevented. Estimation of population values from the sample data has been probematical, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Steve Thompson

In network analysis, many community detection algorithms have been developed, however, their implementation leaves unaddressed the question of the statistical validation of the results. Here we present robin(ROBustness In Network), an R…

The R package robusTest offers corrected versions of several common tests in bivariate statistics. We point out the limitations of these tests in their classical versions, some of which are well known such as robustness or calibration…

This paper presents a selective survey of recent developments in statistical inference and multiple testing for high-dimensional regression models, including linear and logistic regression. We examine the construction of confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 T. Tony Cai , Zijian Guo , Yin Xia

Inverse probability weighted estimators are the oldest and potentially most commonly used class of procedures for the estimation of causal effects. By adjusting for selection biases via a weighting mechanism, these procedures estimate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Ashkan Ertefaie , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper is concerned with detecting the presence of out of sample predictability in linear predictive regressions with a potentially large set of candidate predictors. We propose a procedure based on out of sample MSE comparisons that is…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-17 Jesus Gonzalo , Jean-Yves Pitarakis

We combine Bayesian prediction and weighted inference as a unified approach to survey inference. The general principles of Bayesian analysis imply that models for survey outcomes should be conditional on all variables that affect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Rob Trangucci , Jonah Sol Gabry , Andrew Gelman

This is an overview of the R package iprior, which implements a unified methodology for fitting parametric and nonparametric regression models, including additive models, multilevel models, and models with one or more functional covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-04 Haziq Jamil , Wicher Bergsma

Currently, the high-precision estimation of nonlinear parameters such as Gini indices, low-income proportions or other measures of inequality is particularly crucial. In the present paper, we propose a general class of estimators for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 Camelia Goga , Anne Ruiz-Gazen

In today's modern era of Big data, computationally efficient and scalable methods are needed to support timely insights and informed decision making. One such method is sub-sampling, where a subset of the Big data is analysed and used as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

This article introduces the bpcs R package (Bayesian Paired Comparison in Stan) and the statistical models implemented in the package. This package aims to facilitate the use of Bayesian models for paired comparison data in behavioral…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 David Issa Mattos , Érika Martins Silva Ramos

We present csSampling, an R package for estimation of Bayesian models for data collected from complex survey samples. csSampling combines functionality from the probabilistic programming language Stan (via the rstan and brms R packages) and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-15 Ryan Hornby , Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky , Mahmoud Elkasabi

For any forecasting application, evaluation of forecasts is an important task. For example, in the field of renewable energy sources there is high variability and uncertainty of power production, which makes forecasting and the evaluation…

The INLA package provides a tool for computationally efficient Bayesian modeling and inference for various widely used models, more formally the class of latent Gaussian models. It is a non-sampling based framework which provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Janet van Niekerk , Haakon Bakka , Haavard Rue , Olaf Schenk