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Non-probabilistic convex model utilizes a convex set to quantify the uncertainty domain of uncertain-but-bounded parameters, which is very effective for structural uncertainty analysis with limited or poor-quality experimental data. To…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-18 Ni Bingyu , Jiang Chao , Huang Zhiliang

The R package innsight offers a general toolbox for revealing variable-wise interpretations of deep neural networks' predictions with so-called feature attribution methods. Aside from the unified and user-friendly framework, the package…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Niklas Koenen , Marvin N. Wright

Rejection sampling is a technique for sampling from difficult distributions. However, its use is limited due to a high rejection rate. Common adaptive rejection sampling methods either work only for very specific distributions or without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Akram Erraqabi , Michal Valko , Alexandra Carpentier , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

The objective of this work is to quantify the uncertainty in probability of failure estimates resulting from incomplete knowledge of the probability distributions for the input random variables. We propose a framework that couples the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Michael Shields

We propose two classes of nonparametric point estimators of $\theta=P(X<Y)$ in the case where $(X,Y)$ are paired, possibly dependent, absolutely continuous random variables. The proposed estimators are based on nonparametric estimators of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-27 J. A. Montoya , F. J. Rubio

With the wide adoption of machine learning techniques, requirements have evolved beyond sheer high performance, often requiring models to be trustworthy. A common approach to increase the trustworthiness of such systems is to allow them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrea Pugnana , Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

Ensemble forecasts are commonly used to support decision-making and policy planning across various fields because they often offer improved accuracy and stability compared to individual models. As each model has its own unique…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Minsu Kim , Li Shandross , Evan L. Ray , Nicholas G. Reich

We investigate a Poisson sampling design in the presence of unknown selection probabilities when applied to a population of unknown size for multiple sampling occasions. The fixed-population model is adopted and extended upon for inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 Kyle Vincent , Saman Muthukumarana

Nonparametric regression models offer a way to understand and quantify relationships between variables without having to identify an appropriate family of possible regression functions. Although many estimation methods for these models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Matias Salibian-Barrera

Administrative data, or non-probability sample data, are increasingly being used to obtain official statistics due to their many benefits over survey methods. In particular, they are less costly, provide a larger sample size, and are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Asma Bahamyirou , Mireille E. Schnitzer

Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

Research in psychology generates interesting data sets and unique statistical modelling tasks. However, these tasks, while important, are often very specific, so appropriate statistical models and methods cannot be found in accessible…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-04 Jure Demšar , Grega Repovš , Erik Štrumbelj

Ordinal user-provided ratings across multiple items are frequently encountered in both scientific and commercial applications. Whilst recommender systems are known to do well on these type of data from a predictive point of view, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Sjoerd Hermes

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Imputation is a popular technique for handling missing data. We consider a nonparametric approach to imputation using the kernel ridge regression technique and propose consistent variance estimation. The proposed variance estimator is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Hengfang Wang , Jae-Kwang Kim

Surveys are an important research tool, providing unique measurements on subjective experiences such as sentiment and opinions that cannot be measured by other means. However, because survey data is collected from a self-selected group of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-14 Tal Sarig , Tal Galili , Roee Eilat

Repeated-measure designs allow comparisons within a group as well as between groups, and are commonly referred to as split-plot designs. While originating in agricultural experiments, they are now widely used in medical research,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-22 Paavo Sattler , Nils Hichert

Population size estimation is a major challenge in official statistics, social sciences, and natural sciences. The problem can be tackled by applying capture-recapture methods, which vary depending on the number of sources used,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-10 Piotr Chlebicki , Maciej Beręsewicz

Sample quantiles, such as the median, are often better suited than the sample mean for summarising location characteristics of a data set. Similarly, linear combinations of sample quantiles and ratios of such linear combinations, e.g. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Luke A. Prendergast , Shenal Dedduwakumara , Robert G. Staudte

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee
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