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Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

Spatial confounding poses a significant challenge in scientific studies involving spatial data, where unobserved spatial variables can influence both treatment and outcome, possibly leading to spurious associations. To address this problem,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Mauricio Tec , Ana Trisovic , Michelle Audirac , Sophie Woodward , Jie Kate Hu , Naeem Khoshnevis , Francesca Dominici

Independence testing is a classical statistical problem that has been extensively studied in the batch setting when one fixes the sample size before collecting data. However, practitioners often prefer procedures that adapt to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Aleksandr Podkopaev , Patrick Blöbaum , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan , Aaditya Ramdas

In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach to formally verify the safety of (potentially) unknown discrete-time continuous-space stochastic systems. The proposed framework is based on a notion of barrier certificates together with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-24 Ali Salamati , Abolfazl Lavaei , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

Shape constraints yield flexible middle grounds between fully nonparametric and fully parametric approaches to modeling distributions of data. The specific assumption of log-concavity is motivated by applications across economics, survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Robin Dunn , Aditya Gangrade , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas

The rapid growth of location-based services (LBS) has yielded massive amounts of data on human mobility. Effectively extracting meaningful representations for user-generated check-in sequences is pivotal for facilitating various downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Letian Gong , Huaiyu Wan , Shengnan Guo , Xiucheng Li , Yan Lin , Erwen Zheng , Tianyi Wang , Zeyu Zhou , Youfang Lin

In this paper, we consider the iterative method of subspace corrections with random ordering. We prove identities for the expected convergence rate, which can provide sharp estimates for the error reduction per iteration. We also study the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Xiaozhe Hu , Jinchao Xu , Ludmil Zikatanov

Visual Place Recognition (VPR) enables robots and autonomous vehicles to identify previously visited locations by matching current observations against a database of known places. However, VPR systems face significant challenges when…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Emily Miller , Michael Milford , Muhammad Burhan Hafez , SD Ramchurn , Shoaib Ehsan

We use the domination number of a parametrized random digraph family called proportional-edge proximity catch digraphs (PCDs) for testing multivariate spatial point patterns. This digraph family is based on relative positions of data points…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-17 Elvan Ceyhan

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

Simulation-based probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) is a systematic and comprehensive methodology that has been used and refined over the past few decades to evaluate the risks associated with complex systems. SPRA models are well…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-27 Tarannom Parhizkar

Temporal point processes are powerful generative models for event sequences that capture complex dependencies in time-series data. They are commonly specified using autoregressive models that learn the distribution of the next event from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Marin Biloš , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Sampling based methods are widely used for robotic motion planning. Traditionally, these samples are drawn from probabilistic ( or deterministic ) distributions to cover the state space uniformly. Despite being probabilistically complete,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Rajat Kumar Jenamani , Rahul Kumar , Parth Mall , Kushal Kedia

In deploying artificial intelligence (AI) models, selective prediction offers the option to abstain from making a prediction when uncertain about model quality. To fulfill its promise, it is crucial to enforce strict and precise error…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Tian Bai , Ying Jin

Estimating post-click conversion rate (CVR) accurately is crucial for ranking systems in industrial applications such as recommendation and advertising. Conventional CVR modeling applies popular deep learning methods and achieves…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-25 Xiao Ma , Liqin Zhao , Guan Huang , Zhi Wang , Zelin Hu , Xiaoqiang Zhu , Kun Gai

We present a sequential testing method to identify a practically significant effect. We build on the existing mixture sequential probability ratio test (mSPRT) that can sequentially test for a non-zero treatment effect by using a truncated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Kyu Min Shim

Testing for dependence has been a well-established component of spatial statistical analyses for decades. In particular, several popular test statistics have desirable properties for testing for the presence of spatial autocorrelation in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-25 Youjin Lee , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

The hypothesis of randomness is fundamental in statistical machine learning and in many areas of nonparametric statistics; it says that the observations are assumed to be independent and coming from the same unknown probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Vladimir Vovk

To better understand the spatial structure of large panels of economic and financial time series and provide a guideline for constructing semiparametric models, this paper first considers estimating a large spatial covariance matrix of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Song Song

This paper focuses on the sparse subspace clustering problem, and develops an online algorithmic solution to cluster data points on-the-fly, without revisiting the whole dataset. The strategy involves an online solution of a sparse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Liam Madden , Stephen Becker , Emiliano Dall'Anese
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