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Levy processes are widely used in financial mathematics, telecommunication, economics, queueing theory and natural sciences for modelling. A typical model is obtained by considering finite dimensional linear stochastic SISO systems driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Laszlo Gerencser , Mate Manfay

The multidimensional Uncertain Volatility Model leads to robust option pricing problems under joint volatility and correlation uncertainty. Their numerical resolution quickly becomes challenging because the associated stochastic control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Lokman A Abbas-Turki , Jean-François Chassagneux , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Grégoire Loeper , Simon Sananes

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

We introduce a new preference-based framework for conditional treatment effect estimation and policy learning, built on the Conditional Preference-based Treatment Effect (CPTE). CPTE requires only that outcomes be ranked under a preference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Dovid Parnas , Mathieu Even , Julie Josse , Uri Shalit

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

Policy-Relevant Treatment Effects (PRTEs) are generally not point-identified under standard Instrumental Variable (IV) assumptions when the instrument generates limited support in treatment propensity. We show that PRTE partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Jiyuan Tan , Jose Blanchet , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We propose a novel framework for solving continuous-time non-Markovian stochastic control problems by means of neural rough differential equations (Neural RDEs) introduced in Morrill et al. (2021). Non-Markovianity naturally arises in…

Controlling stochastic systems with unknown dynamics and under complex specifications is specially challenging in safety-critical settings, where performance guarantees are essential. We propose a data-driven policy synthesis framework that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-17 Ibon Gracia , Morteza Lahijanian

Tracking a target in cluttered and dynamic environments is challenging but forms a core component in applications like aerial cinematography. The obstacles in the environment not only pose collision risk but can also occlude the target from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Houman Masnavi , Arun Kumar Singh , Farrokh Janabi-Sharifi

Stabilizing a dynamical system is a fundamental problem that serves as a cornerstone for many complex tasks in the field of control systems. The problem becomes challenging when the system model is unknown. Among the Reinforcement Learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-30 Ankang Zhang , Ming Chi , Xiaoling Wang , Lintao Ye

This paper presents a new robust data-driven predictive control scheme for unknown linear time-invariant systems by using input-state-output or input-output data based on whether the state is measurable. To remove the need for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Kaijian Hu , Tao Liu

We introduce a continuous policy-value iteration algorithm where the approximations of the value function of a stochastic control problem and the optimal control are simultaneously updated through Langevin-type dynamics. This framework…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Qi Feng , Gu Wang

The aim of this paper is to establish a causal link between the policies implemented by technology companies and the outcomes they yield within intricate temporal and/or spatial dependent experiments. We propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-05 Shikai Luo , Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Jieping Ye , Hongtu Zhu

This paper establishes a stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems governed by time-changed forward-backward stochastic differential equations with L\'evy noise. The system incorporates a random, non-decreasing operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Jingwei Chen , Jun Ye , Feng Chen

We propose the use of Bayesian networks, which provide both a mean value and an uncertainty estimate as output, to enhance the safety of learned control policies under circumstances in which a test-time input differs significantly from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Keuntaek Lee , Kamil Saigol , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Classical value iteration approaches are not applicable to environments with continuous states and actions. For such environments, the states and actions are usually discretized, which leads to an exponential increase in computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Michael Lutter , Shie Mannor , Jan Peters , Dieter Fox , Animesh Garg

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is a method for estimating the return of a target policy using some pre-collected observational data generated by a potentially different behavior policy. In some cases, there may be unmeasured variables that can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-03 Yang Xu , Jin Zhu , Chengchun Shi , Shikai Luo , Rui Song

Distributionally robust policy learning aims to find a policy that performs well under the worst-case distributional shift, and yet most existing methods for robust policy learning consider the worst-case joint distribution of the covariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jingyuan Wang , Zhimei Ren , Ruohan Zhan , Zhengyuan Zhou

Model-based algorithms, which learn a dynamics model from logged experience and perform some sort of pessimistic planning under the learned model, have emerged as a promising paradigm for offline reinforcement learning (offline RL).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-28 Tianhe Yu , Aviral Kumar , Rafael Rafailov , Aravind Rajeswaran , Sergey Levine , Chelsea Finn

In this paper, we focus on the problem of robustifying reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms with respect to model uncertainties. Indeed, in the framework of model-based RL, we propose to merge the theory of constrained Markov decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Reazul Hasan Russel , Mouhacine Benosman , Jeroen Van Baar