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We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest

Load forecasting is crucial for multiple energy management tasks such as scheduling generation capacity, planning supply and demand, and minimizing energy trade costs. Such relevance has increased even more in recent years due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , José A. Lozano

Electrical utilities depend on short-term demand forecasting to proactively adjust production and distribution in anticipation of major variations. This systematic review analyzes 240 works published in scholarly journals between 2000 and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Ali Bou Nassif , Bassel Soudan , Mohammad Azzeh , Imtinan Attilli , Omar AlMulla

Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) are widely used explainable-by-design models in various applications. GAMs assume that the output can be represented as a sum of univariate functions, referred to as components. However, this assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Vasilis Gkolemis , Anargiros Tzerefos , Theodore Dalamagas , Eirini Ntoutsi , Christos Diou

We propose a novel framework for fitting additive quantile regression models, which provides well calibrated inference about the conditional quantiles and fast automatic estimation of the smoothing parameters, for model structures as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 M. Fasiolo , S. N. Wood , M. Zaffran , R. Nedellec , Y. Goude

The emerging field of learning-augmented online algorithms uses ML techniques to predict future input parameters and thereby improve the performance of online algorithms. Since these parameters are, in general, real-valued functions, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Keerti Anand , Rong Ge , Amit Kumar , Debmalya Panigrahi

In many applications, projection-based reduced-order models (ROMs) have demonstrated the ability to provide rapid approximate solutions to high-fidelity full-order models (FOMs). However, there is no a priori assurance that these…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Philip A. Etter , Kevin T. Carlberg

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) can substantially enhance the performance of LLMs on knowledge-intensive tasks. Various RAG paradigms - including vanilla, planning-based, and iterative RAG - all depend on a robust retriever, yet…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Haiyang Shen , Hang Yan , Zhongshi Xing , Mugeng Liu , Yue Li , Zhiyang Chen , Yuxiang Wang , Jiuzheng Wang , Yun Ma

Generalized additive model is a powerful statistical learning and predictive modeling tool that has been applied in a wide range of applications. The need of high-dimensional additive modeling is eminent in the context of dealing with high…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Kaixu Yang , Tapabrata Maiti

Adaptive time series forecasting is essential for prediction under regime changes. Several classical methods assume linear Gaussian state space model (LGSSM) with variances constant in time. However, there are many real-world processes that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-23 Baptiste Abélès , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintemberger

With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

How can short-term energy consumption be accurately forecasted when sensor data is noisy, incomplete, and lacks contextual richness? This question guided our participation in the \textit{2025 Competition on Electric Energy Consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Sarah Al-Shareeda , Gulcihan Ozdemir , Heung Seok Jeon , Khaleel Ahmad

State-of-the-art differentially private synthetic tabular data has been defined by adaptive 'select-measure-generate' frameworks, exemplified by methods like AIM. These approaches iteratively measure low-order noisy marginals and fit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Samuel Maddock , Shripad Gade , Graham Cormode , Will Bullock

This paper introduces online algorithms with unreliable guidance (OAG), a model for ML-augmented online decision-making that cleanly separates the predictive and algorithmic components, thus offering a single, well-defined analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Julien Dallot , Yuval Emek , Yuval Gil , Maciej Pacut , Stefan Schmid

Forecast-then-optimize is a widely-used framework for decision-making problems in power systems. Traditionally, statistical losses have been employed to train forecasting models, but recent research demonstrated that improved decision…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-22 Haipeng Zhang , Ran Li , Mingyang Sun , Teng Fei

Accurate load forecasting remains a formidable challenge in numerous sectors, given the intricate dynamics of dynamic power systems, which often defy conventional statistical models. As a response, time-series methodologies like ARIMA and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Anuvab Sen , Vedica Gupta , Chi Tang

Neural models are increasingly used in Web-scale Information Retrieval (IR). However, relying on these models introduces substantial computational and energy requirements, leading to increasing attention toward their environmental cost and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Pranav Kasela , Marco Braga , Ophir Frieder , Nazli Goharian , Gabriella Pasi , Raffaele Perego

The COVID 19 pandemic and ongoing political and regional conflicts have a highly detrimental impact on the global supply chain, causing significant delays in logistics operations and international shipments. One of the most pressing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-01 Mustafa Can Camur , Sandipp Krishnan Ravi , Shadi Saleh

Data assimilation (DA) combines partial observations with dynamical models to improve state estimation. Filter-based DA uses only past and present data and is the prerequisite for real-time forecasts. Smoother-based DA exploits both past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Yingda Li

Neural network potentials are a powerful tool for atomistic simulations, allowing to accurately reproduce \textit{ab initio} potential energy surfaces with computational performance approaching classical force fields. A central component of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-12-27 Johannes Sandberg , Thomas Voigtmann , Emilie Devijver , Noel Jakse