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We introduce methods and theory for fractionally cointegrated curve time series. We develop a variance-ratio test to determine the dimensions associated with the nonstationary and stationary subspaces. For each subspace, we apply a local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Won-Ki Seo , Han Lin Shang

In this paper, in the first step, we show that the fractional Dickey-Fuller test proposed by Dolado et al [10] is useless in practice. In the second step, we propose a new testing procedure for the degree of fractional integration of a time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Ahmed Bensalma , Mohamed Bentarzi

We propose a new and easy-to-use method for identifying cointegrated components of nonstationary time series, consisting of an eigenanalysis for a certain non-negative definite matrix. Our setting is model-free, and we allow the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-13 Rongmao Zhang , Peter Robinson , Qiwei Yao

This paper introduces a test for fractional integration in a model that possibly contains smooth deterministic trends. We model the trend component using a Chebyshev polynomial and specify the short-run dynamics semi-parametrically,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-27 Mustafa R. Kılınç , Michael Massmann

Here, we address the problem of trend estimation for functional time series. Existing contributions either deal with detecting a functional trend or assuming a simple model. They consider neither the estimation of a general functional trend…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

Discrete-value time series are sequences of measurements where each measurement is a discrete (categorical or integer) value. These time series are widely used in various fields, and their classification and clustering are essential for…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Artyom Gevorgyan , Albert Gevorgyan

We study statistical inference on unit roots and cointegration for time series in a Hilbert space. We develop statistical inference on the number of common stochastic trends embedded in the time series, i.e., the dimension of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-17 Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Won-Ki Seo , Dakyung Seong

This paper investigates a class of algorithms for numerical integration of a function in d dimensions over a compact domain by Monte Carlo methods. We construct a histogram approximation to the function using a partition of the integration…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Rudy Arthur , A. D. Kennedy

Time series clustering is essential in scientific applications, yet methods for functional time series, collections of infinite-dimensional curves treated as random elements in a Hilbert space, remain underdeveloped. This work presents…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Angel Lopez-Oriona , Ying Sun , Han Lin Shang

We describe group sequential tests which efficiently incorporate information from multiple endpoints allowing for early stopping at pre-planned interim analyses. We formulate a testing procedure where several outcomes are examined, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Abigail J. Burdon , Thomas Jaki

The performance of a number of different measures of nonlinearity in a time series is compared numerically. Their power to distinguish noisy chaotic data from linear stochastic surrogates is determined by Monte Carlo simulation for a number…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

We construct numerical integrators for Hamiltonian problems that may advantageously replace the standard Verlet time-stepper within Hybrid Monte Carlo and related simulations. Past attempts have often aimed at boosting the order of accuracy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-10 Sergio Blanes , Fernando Casas , J. M. Sanz-Serna

I consider the problem of integrating a function $f$ over the $d$-dimensional unit cube. I describe a multilevel Monte Carlo method that estimates the integral with variance at most $\epsilon^{2}$ in $O(d+\ln(d)d_{t}\epsilon^{-2})$ time,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-21 Nabil Kahalé

When analysing time series an important issue is to decide whether the time series is stationary or a random walk. Relaxing these notions, we consider the problem to decide in favor of the I(0)- or I(1)-property. Fixed-sample statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

We introduce a general framework for testing temporal symmetries in time series based on the distribution of ordinal patterns. While previous approaches have focused on specific forms of asymmetry, such as time reversal, our method provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Annika Betken , Giorgio Micali , Manuel Ruiz Marín

This paper is concerned with inference based on the mean function of a functional time series, which is defined as a collection of curves obtained by splitting a continuous time record, e.g. into daily or annual curves. We develop a normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-03 Lajos Horvath , Piotr Kokoszka , Ron Reeder

Given a pair of multivariate time-series data of the same length and dimensions, an approach is proposed to select variables and time intervals where the two series are significantly different. In applications where one time series is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Kensuke Mitsuzawa , Margherita Grossi , Stefano Bortoli , Motonobu Kanagawa

Frequently econometricians are interested in verifying a relationship between two or more time series. Such analysis is typically carried out by causality and/or independence tests which have been well studied when the data is univariate or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Lajos Horvath , Greg Rice

We propose a general scheme to create time sequences that fulfill given constraints but are random otherwise. Significance levels for nonlinearity tests are as usually obtained by Monte Carlo resampling. In a new scheme, constraints…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

Verification of temporal logic properties plays a crucial role in proving the desired behaviors of continuous systems. In this paper, we propose an interval method that verifies the properties described by a bounded signal temporal logic.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-02-09 Daisuke Ishii , Naoki Yonezaki , Alexandre Goldsztejn
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