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Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud

Phishing is a major cyber threat to organizations that can cause financial and reputational damage, threatening their existence. The technical measures against phishing should be complemented by awareness training for employees. However,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Laura Gamisch , Daniela Pöhn

Human reasoning involves different strategies, each suited to specific problems. Prior work shows that large language model (LLMs) tend to favor a single reasoning strategy, potentially limiting their effectiveness in diverse reasoning…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Yanjian Zhang , Guillaume Wisniewski , Nadi Tomeh , Thierry Charnois

Event-driven architecture has been widely adopted in the software industry, emerging as an alternative to modular development to support rapid adaptations of constantly evolving systems. However, little is known about the effects of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Luan Lazzari , Kleinner Farias

Randomized search algorithms for hard combinatorial problems exhibit a large variability of performances. We study the different types of rare events which occur in such out-of-equilibrium stochastic processes and we show how they cooperate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Andrea Montanari , Riccardo Zecchina

The scientific method drives improvements in public health, but a strategy of obstructionism has impeded scientists from gathering even a minimal amount of information to address America's gun violence epidemic. We argue that in spite of a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-11-04 John W. Ayers , Benjamin M. Althouse , Eric C. Leas , Ted Alcorn , Mark Dredze

Mode estimation is a classical problem in statistics with a wide range of applications in machine learning. Despite this, there is little understanding in its robustness properties under possibly adversarial data contamination. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Aldo Pacchiano , Heinrich Jiang , Michael I. Jordan

Accurate and robust trajectory prediction is essential for safe and efficient autonomous driving, yet recent work has shown that even state-of-the-art prediction models are highly vulnerable to inputs being mildly perturbed by adversarial…

Rationality is frequently associated with making the best possible decisions. It's widely acknowledged that humans, as rational beings, have limitations in their decision-making capabilities. Nevertheless, recent advancements in fields,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Dibakar Das

We identify robust statistical patterns in the frequency and severity of violent attacks by terrorist organizations as they grow and age. Using group-level static and dynamic analyses of terrorist events worldwide from 1968-2008 and a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-26 Aaron Clauset , Kristian Skrede Gleditsch

We propose two training techniques for improving the robustness of Neural Networks to adversarial attacks, i.e. manipulations of the inputs that are maliciously crafted to fool networks into incorrect predictions. Both methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Ginevra Carbone , Guido Sanguinetti , Luca Bortolussi

DNNs' demand for massive data forces practitioners to collect data from the Internet without careful check due to the unacceptable cost, which brings potential risks of backdoor attacks. A backdoored model always predicts a target class in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Yinghua Gao , Dongxian Wu , Jingfeng Zhang , Guanhao Gan , Shu-Tao Xia , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

This paper investigates the theory of robustness against adversarial attacks. It focuses on the family of randomization techniques that consist in injecting noise in the network at inference time. These techniques have proven effective in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Rafael Pinot , Laurent Meunier , Alexandre Araujo , Hisashi Kashima , Florian Yger , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Jamal Atif

This paper studies how insurers can chose which claims to investigate for fraud. Given a prediction model, typically only claims with the highest predicted propability of being fraudulent are investigated. We argue that this can lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-24 Christos Revelas , Otilia Boldea , Bas J. M. Werker

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

We show that in device independent quantum key distribution protocols the privacy of randomness is of crucial importance. For sublinear test sample sizes even the slightest guessing probability by an eavesdropper will completely compromise…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-09-12 Marcus Huber , Marcin Pawlowski

We investigate the predictability of extreme events in time series. The focus of this work is to understand under which circumstances large events are better predictable than smaller events. Therefore we use a simple prediction algorithm…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-01-30 S. Hallerberg , H. Kantz

When developing autonomous systems, engineers and other stakeholders make great effort to prepare the system for all foreseeable events and conditions. However, these systems are still bound to encounter events and conditions that were not…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Assaf Marron , Lior Limonad , Sarah Pollack , David Harel

In this paper we look at a class of random optimization problems. We discuss ways that can help determine typical behavior of their solutions. When the dimensions of the optimization problems are large such an information often can be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-01 Mihailo Stojnic

The paper considers the problem of multi-agent consensus in the presence of adversarial agents which may try to prevent and introduce undesired influence on the coordination among the regular agents. To our setting, we extend the so-called…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-25 Hiroki Matsume , Yuan Wang , Hideaki Ishii
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