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Information is increasingly being viewed as a resource used by organisms to increase their fitness. Indeed, it has been formally shown that there is a sensible way to assign a reproductive value to information and it is non-negative.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-03 Jared M. Field , Michael B. Bonsall

We introduce a new updating rule, the conditional maximum likelihood rule (CML) for updating ambiguous information. The CML formula replaces the likelihood term in Bayes' rule with the maximal likelihood of the given signal conditional on…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-12-29 Rui Tang

Williams and Beer (2010) proposed a nonnegative mutual information decomposition, based on the construction of information gain lattices, which allows separating the information that a set of variables contains about another into components…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-04-05 Daniel Chicharro , Stefano Panzeri

Extensive efforts to gather materials data have largely overlooked potential data redundancy. In this study, we present evidence of a significant degree of redundancy across multiple large datasets for various material properties, by…

The information that two random variables $Y$, $Z$ contain about a third random variable $X$ can have aspects of shared information (contained in both $Y$ and $Z$), of complementary information (only available from $(Y,Z)$ together) and of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Johannes Rauh , Nils Bertschinger , Eckehard Olbrich , Jürgen Jost

In this note, I explore the implications of informational robustness under the assumption of common belief in rationality. That is, predictions for incomplete-information games which are valid across all possible information structures.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-08 Gabriel Ziegler

Rational belief revision is commonly viewed as being based on a preference order between possible worlds, with the resulting new belief set being those sentences true in all the most preferred models of the incoming new information.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Richard Booth , Ivan Varzinczak

We establish bounds on quantum correlations in many-body systems. They reveal what sort of information about a quantum system can be simultaneously recorded in different parts of its environment. Specifically, independent agents who monitor…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-30 D. Girolami , A. Touil , B. Yan , S. Deffner , W. H. Zurek

We provide a formal, simple and intuitive theory of rational decision making including sequential decisions that affect the environment. The theory has a geometric flavor, which makes the arguments easy to visualize and understand. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Peter Sunehag , Marcus Hutter

Classical sufficient conditions for ensuring the robust stability of a dynamical system in feedback with a nonlinearity include passivity, small gain, circle, and conicity theorems. We present a generalized version of these results for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Saman Cyrus , Laurent Lessard

This paper introduces a new model of continuous opinion dynamics with random noise. The model belongs to the broad class of so called bounded confidence models. It differs from other popular bounded confidence models by the update rule,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-06-02 P. Nyczka

We introduce and characterize inertial updating of beliefs. Under inertial updating, a decision maker (DM) chooses a belief that minimizes the subjective distance between their prior belief and the set of beliefs consistent with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-03-21 Adam Dominiak , Matthew Kovach , Gerelt Tserenjigmid

The Contextuality-by-Default (CbD) theory allows one to separate contextuality from context-dependent errors and violations of selective influences (aka "no-signaling" or "no-disturbance" principles). This makes the theory especially…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-25 Victor H. Cervantes , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

A resource-constrained system monitors a source of information by requesting a finite number of updates subject to random transmission delays. An a priori fixed update request policy is shown to minimize a polynomial penalty function of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-03 David Ramirez , Elza Erkip , H. Vincent Poor

The way a rational agent changes her belief in certain propositions/hypotheses in the light of new evidence lies at the heart of Bayesian inference. The basic natural assumption, as summarized in van Fraassen's Reflection Principle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-06-10 Berry Groisman

We consider the decentralized binary hypothesis testing problem on trees of bounded degree and increasing depth. For a regular tree of depth t and branching factor k>=2, we assume that the leaves have access to independent and identically…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2011-04-18 Yashodhan Kanoria , Andrea Montanari

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Randomized experiments have long been the gold standard for scientists seeking to learn about cause and effect. When randomized experiments are infeasible, scientists often resort to observational studies, which are widely available and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Bohan Wu , Sebastian Salazar , Donald P. Green , David M. Blei

Algorithmic recourse aims to provide actionable recommendations to individuals to obtain a more favourable outcome from an automated decision-making system. As it involves reasoning about interventions performed in the physical world,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Julius von Kügelgen , Nikita Agarwal , Jakob Zeitler , Afsaneh Mastouri , Bernhard Schölkopf

Bayes factors are characterized by both the powerful mathematical framework of Bayesian statistics and the useful interpretation as evidence quantification. Former requires a parameter distribution that changes by seeing the data, latter…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-20 Patrick Schwaferts , Thomas Augustin