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Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

Probabilistic forecasting is not only a way to add more information to a prediction of the future, but it also builds on weaknesses in point prediction. Sudden changes in a time series can still be captured by a cumulative distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Niklas Erdmann , Lars Bentsen , Roy Stenbro , Heine Nygard Riise , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Paal E. Engelstad

Statistical traffic data analysis is a hot topic in traffic management and control. In this field, current research progresses focus on analyzing traffic flows of individual links or local regions in a transportation network. Less attention…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Yufei Han , Fabien Moutarde

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can provide significant improvements in decision-making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energies such as wind. Whereas point forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-30 Kostas Hatalis , Shalinee Kishore , Katya Scheinberg , Alberto Lamadrid

Non-terrestrial networks (NTNs) are anticipated to be indispensable in extending coverage and enabling global communication access in next-generation wireless networks. With the extensive deployment of non-terrestrial platforms, evaluating…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Ruibo Wang , Mustafa A. Kishk , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Accurate load forecasting is critical for electricity market operations and other real-time decision-making tasks in power systems. This paper considers the short-term load forecasting (STLF) problem for residential customers within a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Yuqi Zhou , Arun Sukumaran Nair , David Ganger , Abhinandan Tripathi , Chaitanya Baone , Hao Zhu

Traffic forecasting uses recent measurements by sensors installed at chosen locations to forecast the future road traffic. Existing work either assumes all locations are equipped with sensors or focuses on short-term forecast. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Zhengkun Xiao , Yupu zhang , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

State space models, such as Mamba, have recently garnered attention in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture sequence patterns. However, in electricity consumption benchmarks, Mamba forecasts exhibit a mean error of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Pedro Pessoa , Paul Campitelli , Douglas P. Shepherd , S. Banu Ozkan , Steve Pressé

Active QoS metric prediction, commonly employed in the maintenance and operation of DTN, could enhance network performance regarding latency, throughput, energy consumption, and dependability. Naturally formulated as a multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Enming Zhang , Zheng Liu , Yu Xiang , Yanwen Qu

The short-term forecasting of real-time locational marginal price (LMP) and network congestion is considered from a system operator perspective. A new probabilistic forecasting technique is proposed based on a multiparametric programming…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Yuting Ji , Robert J. Thomas , Lang Tong

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-20 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Wonmin Byeon , Zhong Y. Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Petros Koumoutsakos

We propose a novel methodology for forecasting spatio-temporal data using supervised semi-nonnegative matrix factorization (SSNMF) with frequency regularization. Matrix factorization is employed to decompose spatio-temporal data into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keunsu Kim , Hanbaek Lyu , Jinsu Kim , Jae-Hun Jung

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Power grids are critical infrastructure assets that face non-technical losses (NTL) such as electricity theft or faulty meters. NTL may range up to 40% of the total electricity distributed in emerging countries. Industrial NTL detection…

Load forecasting is essential for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective management of power systems. Load forecasting performance can be improved by learning the similarities among multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

The problem of scheduling under resource constraints is widely applicable. One prominent example is power management, in which we have a limited continuous supply of power but must schedule a number of power-consuming tasks. Such problems…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-02-11 Szymon Sidor , Peng Yu , Cheng Fang , Brian Williams

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric end-to-end method for probabilistic forecasting of distributed renewable generation outputs while including missing data imputation. Firstly, we employ a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Minghui Chen , Zichao Meng , Yanping Liu , Longbo Luo , Ye Guo , Kang Wang

Machine learning (ML) has revolutionized medical prognostics by integrating advanced algorithms with clinical data to enhance disease prediction, risk assessment, and patient outcome forecasting. This comprehensive review critically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Michael Fascia