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Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid for better integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-05 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Spatial Transformer Networks (STNs) estimate image transformations that can improve downstream tasks by `zooming in' on relevant regions in an image. However, STNs are hard to train and sensitive to mis-predictions of transformations. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Pola Schwöbel , Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Kristoffer H. Madsen , Søren Hauberg

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

This study proposes a novel framework for long-term electricity demand prediction based solely on historical consumption data, without relying on external variables such as temperature or economic indicators. The method combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Toma Masaki , Kanta Tachibana

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Renewable energy adoption has increased significantly over the past few years. However, with the increasing adoption of renewable energy, forecasting the net load has become a major challenge due to the inherent uncertainty associated with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Oluwafolajimi Samuel Bolusteve , Linhan Fang , Xingpeng Li

Short term Load Forecasting (STLF) plays an important role in traditional and modern power systems. Most STLF models predominantly exploit temporal dependencies from historical data to predict future consumption. Nowadays, with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Quoc Viet Nguyen , Joaquin Delgado Fernandez , Sergio Potenciano Menci

Energy forecasting has a vital role to play in smart grid (SG) systems involving various applications such as demand-side management, load shedding, and optimum dispatch. Managing efficient forecasting while ensuring the least possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , ZhaoYang Dong

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

The transition to a fully renewable energy grid requires better forecasting of demand at the low-voltage level to increase efficiency and ensure reliable control. However, high fluctuations and increasing electrification cause huge forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Marcel Arpogaus , Marcus Voss , Beate Sick , Mark Nigge-Uricher , Oliver Dürr

The increasing penetration of embedded renewables makes forecasting net-load, consumption less embedded generation, a significant and growing challenge. Here a framework for producing probabilistic forecasts of net-load is proposed with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-06 Jethro Browell , Matteo Fasiolo

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Minju Kim , Youngbum Hur

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Due to an ever-expansive network deployment, numerous questions are being raised regarding the energy consumption of the mobile network. Recently, Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTNs) have proven to be a useful, and complementary solution to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Henri Alam , Antonio de Domenico , Florian Kaltenberger , David López-Pérez

Extreme weather events are increasingly common due to climate change, posing significant risks. To mitigate further damage, a shift towards renewable energy is imperative. Unfortunately, underrepresented communities that are most affected…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Alejandro Aparcedo , Christian Lopez , Abhinav Kotta , Mengjie Li

With the construction of low-earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations, ubiquitous connectivity has been achieved. Terrestrial networks (TNs), such as cellular networks, are mainly deployed in specific urban areas and use licensed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Bodong Shang , Zheng Wang , Xiangyu Li , Chungang Yang , Chao Ren , Haijun Zhang

This paper investigates the use of probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) to model aleatoric uncertainty, which refers to the inherent variability in the input-output relationships of a system, often characterized by unequal variance or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Jamal F. Husseini , Scott E. Stapleton

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies