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The dynamics of populations is frequently subject to intrinsic noise. At the same time unknown interaction networks or rate constants can present quenched uncertainty. Existing approaches often involve repeated sampling of the quenched…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-14 Tobias Galla

Cells of the human body have nearly identical genome but exhibit very different phenotypes that allow them to carry out specific functions and react to changes in their surrounding environment. This division of labour is achieved by…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 Hanan Dreiwi , Flavia Feliciangeli , Mario Castro , Grant Lythe , Carmen Molina-París , Martín López-García

We provide results of a deterministic approximation for non-Markovian stochastic processes modeling finite populations of individuals who recurrently play symmetric finite games and imitate each other according to payoffs. We show that a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Ozgur Aydogmus , Yun Kang

This paper examines a trade execution game for two large traders in a generalized price impact model. We incorporate a stochastic and sequentially dependent factor that exogenously affects the market price into financial markets. Our model…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Masamitsu Ohnishi , Makoto Shimoshimizu

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

Evolutionary game theory is a powerful mathematical framework to study how intelligent individuals adjust their strategies in collective interactions. It has been widely believed that it is impossible to unilaterally control players'…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Renfei Tan , Qi Su , Bin Wu , Long Wang

Many real-world problems modeled by stochastic games have huge state and/or action spaces, leading to the well-known curse of dimensionality. The complexity of the analysis of large-scale systems is dramatically reduced by exploiting mean…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 H. Tembine

Stochastic games are a natural model for the synthesis of controllers confronted to adversarial and/or random actions. In particular, $\omega$-regular games of infinite length can represent reactive systems which are not expected to reach a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2009-02-17 Florian Horn

We consider a stochastic spatial point process with births and deaths on $\mathbb{R}^d$, with the hard-core property that at any time the balls of radius half of any two points do not overlap. We give explicit construction of the process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-19 Mayank Manjrekar

By generating the specifics of a network structure only when needed (on-the-fly), we derive a simple stochastic process that exactly models the time evolution of susceptible-infectious dynamics on finite-size networks. The small number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-18 Pierre-André Noël , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Vincent Marceau , Louis J. Dubé

We have shown recently that a Markov process conditioned on rare events involving time-integrated random variables can be described in the long-time limit by an effective Markov process, called the driven process, which is given…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-17 Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Evolutionary game theory has traditionally employed deterministic models to describe population dynamics. These models, due to their inherent nonlinearities, can exhibit deterministic chaos, where population fluctuations follow complex,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-02 Maria Alejandra Ramirez , George Datseris , Arne Traulsen

We consider a system of $N$ identical independent Markov processes, each taking values 0 or 1. The system describes a stochastic dynamics of an ensemble of two-level atoms. The atoms are exposed to a photon flux. Under the photon flux…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 E. Pechersky , S. Pirogov , G. M. Schütz , A. Vladimirov , A. Yambartsev

We introduce an evolutionary game with feedback between perception and reality, which we call the reality game. It is a game of chance in which the probabilities for different objective outcomes (e.g., heads or tails in a coin toss) depend…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-09 Dmitriy Cherkashin , J. Doyne Farmer , Seth Lloyd

Many socio-economic and biological processes can be modeled as systems of interacting individuals. The behaviour of such systems can be often described within game-theoretic models. In these lecture notes, we introduce fundamental concepts…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Jacek Miekisz

A Markov evolution of a system of point particles in $\mathbb{R}^d$ is described at micro-and mesoscopic levels. The particles reproduce themselves at distant points (dispersal) and die, independently and under the influence of each other…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Dmitri Finkelshtein , Yuri Kondratiev , Yuri Kozitsky , Oleksandr Kutoviy

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

We propose the concept of a Lagrangian game to solve constrained Markov games. Such games model scenarios where agents face cost constraints in addition to their individual rewards, that depend on both agent joint actions and the evolving…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Soham Das , Santiago Paternain , Luiz F. O. Chamon , Ceyhun Eksin

We present an investigation of stochastic evolution in which a family of evolution equations in $L^1$ are driven by continuous-time Markov processes. These are examples of so-called piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Paweł Klimasara , Michael C. Mackey , Andrzej Tomski , Marta Tyran-Kamińska