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Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

Impulsed noise outliers are data points that differs significantly from other observations.They are generally removed from the data set through local regression or Kalman filter algorithm.However, these methods, or their generalizations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Bertrand Cloez , Bénédicte Fontez , Eliel González García , Isabelle Sanchez

This work proposes an unsupervised learning framework for trajectory (sequence) outlier detection that combines ranking tests with user sequence models. The overall framework identifies sequence outliers at a desired false positive rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Mohamed A. Zahran , Leonardo Teixeira , Vinayak Rao , Bruno Ribeiro

Outlier detection is critical in real applications to prevent financial fraud, defend network intrusions, or detecting imminent device failures. To reduce the human effort in evaluating outlier detection results and effectively turn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Yu Wang , Lei Cao , Yizhou Yan , Samuel Madden

In this paper we introduce a new method for detecting outliers in a set of proportions. It is based on the construction of a suitable two-way contingency table and on the application of an algorithm for the detection of outlying cells in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-04 Flavio Mignone , Fabio Rapallo

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Linear regression is ubiquitous in statistical analysis. It is well understood that conflicting sources of information may contaminate the inference when the classical normality of errors is assumed. The contamination caused by the light…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-13 Philippe Gagnon , Alain Desgagné , Mylène Bédard

Nonstationary time series data exist in various scientific disciplines, including environmental science, biology, signal processing, econometrics, among others. Many Bayesian models have been developed to handle nonstationary time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Yuelei Sui , Scott H. Holan , Wen-Hsi Yang

Bayesian predictive inference propagates parameter uncertainty to quantities of interest through the posterior-predictive distribution. In practice, this is typically performed using a two-stage procedure: first approximating the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Nan Feng , Xun Huan

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

This note investigates the problem of detecting outliers in longitudinal data. It compares well-known methods used in official statistics with proposals from the fields of data mining and machine learning that are based on the distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Marcello D'Orazio

Outlying observations, which significantly deviate from other measurements, may distort the conclusions of data analysis. Therefore, identifying outliers is one of the important problems that should be solved to obtain reliable results.…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-01 Soo-Heang Eo , Seung-Mo Hong , HyungJun Cho

Bayesian methods are increasingly applied in these days in the theory and practice of statistics. Any Bayesian inference depends on a likelihood and a prior. Ideally one would like to elicit a prior from related sources of information or…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-11 Malay Ghosh

Outlier detection and concept drift detection represent two challenges in data analysis. Most studies address these issues separately. However, joint detection mechanisms in regression remain underexplored, where the continuous nature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Bingbing Wang , Shengyan Sun , Jiaqi Wang , Yu Tang

Count data with zero inflation and large outliers are ubiquitous in many scientific applications. However, posterior analysis under a standard statistical model, such as Poisson or negative binomial distribution, is sensitive to such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Matrix factorization (MF) has become a common approach to collaborative filtering, due to ease of implementation and scalability to large data sets. Two existing drawbacks of the basic model is that it does not incorporate side information…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-30 Cody Severinski , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

We propose a new assumption in outlier detection: Normal data instances are commonly located in the area that there is hardly any fluctuation on data density, while outliers are often appeared in the area that there is violent fluctuation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ding Liu , Hui Li

Fine-grained time series data are crucial for accurate and timely online change detection. While both collective anomalies and change points can coexist in such data, their joint online detection has received limited attention. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Xian Chen , Weichi Wu

The paper proposes a new latent variable model for the simultaneous (two-way) detection of outlying individuals and items for item-response-type data. The proposed model is a synergy between a factor model for binary responses and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yunxiao Chen , Yan Lu , Irini Moustaki