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We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

Combination of low-tensor rank techniques and the Fast Fourier transform (FFT) based methods had turned out to be prominent in accelerating various statistical operations such as Kriging, computing conditional covariance, geostatistical…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Sergey Dolgov , Alexander Litvinenko , Dishi Liu

Subsurface flow problems usually involve some degree of uncertainty. Consequently, uncertainty quantification is commonly necessary for subsurface flow prediction. In this work, we propose a methodology for efficient uncertainty…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-02 Nanzhe Wang , Haibin Chang , Dongxiao Zhang

In recent years, computational power and data availability breakthroughs have revolutionized our ability to analyze complex physical systems through the inverse problem approach. Data-driven techniques like system identification and machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Sriram Narayanan , Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Ishan Paranjape , Indranil Nayak , Suman Chakravorty , Mrinal Kumar

Modeling groundwater flow in three-dimensional fractured crystalline media requires accounting for strong spatial heterogeneity induced by fractures. Fine-scale discrete fracture-matrix (DFM) simulations can capture this complexity but are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Martin Špetlík , Jan Březina

Crash simulations play an essential role in improving vehicle safety, design optimization, and injury risk estimation. Unfortunately, numerical solutions of such problems using state-of-the-art high-fidelity models require significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jonas Kneifl , Jörg Fehr , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Composite materials exhibit strongly hierarchical and anisotropic properties governed by coupled mechanisms spanning constituents, plies, laminates, structures, and manufacturing history. This intrinsic complexity makes predictive modeling…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Haizhou Wen , Elham Kiyani , Gang Li , Srikanth Pilla , George Em Karniadakis , Zhen Li

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model has been widely used for prototyping data centers. Evolving it to high-fidelity {\em digital twin} is desirable for the management and operations of large-scale data centers. Manually calibrating CFD…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-11 Ruihang Wang , Xin Zhou , Linsen Dong , Yonggang Wen , Rui Tan , Li Chen , Guan Wang , Feng Zeng

This paper outlines a complete methodology for modeling an on-orbit servicing mission scenario and designing a feedback control system for the attitude dynamics that is guaranteed to robustly meet pointing requirements, despite model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-13 Ricardo Rodrigues , Valentin Preda , Francesco Sanfedino , Daniel Alazard

Optimizing expensive black-box systems with limited data is an extremely challenging problem. As a resolution, we present a new surrogate optimization approach by addressing two gaps in prior research -- unimportant input variables and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Hadis Anahideh , Jay Rosenberger , Victoria Chen

Despite the progress in high performance computing, Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations are still computationally expensive for many practical engineering applications such as simulating large computational domains and highly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-26 Botros N Hanna , Nam T. Dinh , Robert W. Youngblood , Igor A. Bolotnov

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio

Kriging is a widely recognized method for making spatial predictions. On the sphere, popular methods such as ordinary kriging assume that the spatial process is intrinsically homogeneous. However, intrinsic homogeneity is too strict in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Nicholas W. Bussberg , Jacob Shields , Chunfeng Huang

We propose and demonstrate a new approach for fast and accurate surrogate modelling of urban drainage system hydraulics based on physics-guided machine learning. The surrogates are trained against a limited set of simulation results from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Rocco Palmitessa , Morten Grum , Allan Peter Engsig-Karup , Roland Löwe

The aim of this study is to develop surrogate models for quick, accurate prediction of thrust forces generated through flapping fin propulsion for given operating conditions and fin geometries. Different network architectures and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-01 Kamal Viswanath , Alisha Sharma , Saketh Gabbita , Jason Geder , Ravi Ramamurti , Marius Pruessner

A main challenge in mechanical design is to efficiently explore the design space while satisfying engineering constraints. This work explores the use of 3D generative models to explore the design space in the context of vehicle development,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Hayata Morita , Kohei Shintani , Chenyang Yuan , Frank Permenter

High-fidelity Monte Carlo simulations and complex inverse problems, such as mapping smeared experimental observations to ground-truth states, are computationally intensive yet essential for robust data analysis. Conditional Flow Matching…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Zeyu Xia , Tyler Kim , Trevor Reed , Judy Fox , Geoffrey Fox , Adam Szczepaniak

This paper considers the surrogate modeling of a complex numerical code in a multifidelity framework when the code output is a time series. Using an experimental design of the low-and high-fidelity code levels, an original Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Baptiste Kerleguer