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Online conformal prediction has demonstrated its capability to construct a prediction set for each incoming data point that covers the true label with a predetermined probability. To cope with potential distribution shift, multi-model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Forecasting armed conflicts is a critical area of research with the potential to save lives and mitigate suffering. While existing forecasting models offer valuable point predictions, they often lack individual-level uncertainty estimates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 David Randahl , Jonathan P. Williams , Håvard Hegre

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) for open-ended language generation remains a critical yet underexplored challenge, especially under black-box constraints where internal model signals are inaccessible. In this paper, we introduce…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Beining Xu , Yongming Lu

Early classification algorithms help users react faster to their machine learning model's predictions. Early warning systems in hospitals, for example, let clinicians improve their patients' outcomes by accurately predicting infections.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Thomas Hartvigsen , Walter Gerych , Jidapa Thadajarassiri , Xiangnan Kong , Elke Rundensteiner

In Online Continual Learning (OCL) a learning system receives a stream of data and sequentially performs prediction and training steps. Important challenges in OCL are concerned with automatic adaptation to the particular non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Michalis K. Titsias , Alexandre Galashov , Amal Rannen-Triki , Razvan Pascanu , Yee Whye Teh , Jorg Bornschein

Machine learning has been widely used in healthcare applications to approximate complex models, for clinical diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment. As deep learning has the outstanding ability to extract information from time series, its true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Ke Liao , Wei Wang , Armagan Elibol , Lingzhong Meng , Xu Zhao , Nak Young Chong

Contrastive Language-Audio Pretraining (CLAP) models have demonstrated unprecedented performance in various acoustic signal recognition tasks. Fiber-optic-based acoustic recognition is one of the most important downstream tasks and plays a…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-20 Jingchen Sun , Shaobo Han , Wataru Kohno , Changyou Chen

Epileptic seizures cause abnormal brain activity, and their unpredictability can lead to accidents, underscoring the need for long-term seizure prediction. Although seizures can be predicted by analyzing electroencephalogram (EEG) signals,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Guorui Lu , Jing Peng , Bingyuan Huang , Chang Gao , Todor Stefanov , Yong Hao , Qinyu Chen

Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units (ICUs), representing a substantial medical challenge. The complexity of analyzing diverse vital signs to predict sepsis further aggravates this issue. While deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yuwei Liu , Chen Dan , Anubhav Bhatti , Bingjie Shen , Divij Gupta , Suraj Parmar , San Lee

This paper is concerned with the robust tracking control of linear uncertain systems, whose unknown system parameters and disturbances are bounded within ellipsoidal sets. We propose an adaptive robust control that can actively learn the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Xuehui Ma , Shiliang Zhang , Yushuai Li , Fucai Qian , Tingwen Huang

Epileptic seizures are transient neurological events characterized by abnormal and excessive neuron activity in the brain, which are often associated with measurable disturbances in the cardiovascular system. Traditionally,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Mohammad Reza Chopannavaz , Foad Ghaderi

The performance of a reinforcement learning (RL) system depends on the computational architecture used to approximate a value function. Deep learning methods provide both optimization techniques and architectures for approximating nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 John D. Martin , Joseph Modayil

Introduction: Approximately 23 million or 30% of epilepsy patients worldwide suffer from drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE). The unpredictability of seizure occurrences, which causes safety issues as well as social concerns, restrict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Shriya Jaddu , Sidh Jaddu , Camilo Gutierrez , Quincy K. Tran

The early and accurate diagnosis of sepsis is critical for enhancing patient outcomes. This study aims to use heart rate variability (HRV) features to develop an effective predictive model for sepsis detection. Critical HRV features are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Sai Balaji , Christopher Sun , Anaiy Somalwar

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

We study the problem of online learning in predictive control of an unknown linear dynamical system with time varying cost functions which are unknown apriori. Specifically, we study the online learning problem where the control algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Dileep Kalathil , Pramod P. Khargonekar

Accurate and reliable pedestrian trajectory prediction is critical for the application of intelligent applications, yet achieving trustworthy prediction remains highly challenging due to the complexity of interactions among pedestrians.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Kaiyuan Zhai , Juan Chen , Chao Wang , Zeyi Xu , Guoming Tang

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely used framework for optimizing expensive black-box functions, commonly based on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models. Its effectiveness relies on uncertainty quantification that is both sharp…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Marshal Arijona Sinaga , Julien Martinelli , Teemu Turpeinen , Samuel Kaski

We consider what we call the offline-to-online learning setting, focusing on stochastic finite-armed bandit problems. In offline-to-online learning, a learner starts with offline data collected from interactions with an unknown environment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Flore Sentenac , Ilbin Lee , Csaba Szepesvari

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng