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Motivated by the increasing number of COVID-19 cases that have been observed in many countries after the vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions, we propose a mathematical model on time-varying networks for the spread…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

In this paper we study some mathematical models describing evolution of population density and spread of epidemics in population systems in which spatial movement of individuals depends only on the departure and arrival locations and does…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Shangbin Cui , Meng Bai

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

In this paper, we study the interplay between the epidemic spreading and the diffusion of awareness in multiplex networks. In the model, an infectious disease can spread in one network representing the paths of epidemic spreading (contact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-16 Jia-Qian Kan , Hai-Feng Zhang

Models of threshold driven contagion explain the cascading spread of information, behavior, systemic risk, and epidemics on social, financial and biological networks. At odds with empirical observation, these models predict that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-23 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , János Kertész , Márton Karsai

Up to now, the effects of having heterogeneous networks of contacts have been studied mostly for diseases which are not persistent in time, i.e., for diseases where the infectious period can be considered very small compared to the lifetime…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-18 J. Sanz , L. M. Floria , Y. Moreno

Many real networks are not isolated from each other but form networks of networks, often interrelated in non trivial ways. Here, we analyze an epidemic spreading process taking place on top of two interconnected complex networks. We develop…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-04 Anna Saumell-Mendiola , M. Ángeles Serrano , Marián Boguñá

We study epidemic spreading in complex networks by a multiple random walker approach. Each walker performs an independent simple Markovian random walk on a complex undirected (ergodic) random graph where we focus on Barab\'asi-Albert (BA),…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-19 Teo Granger , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Bernard A. Collet

In this article, we propose a network spread model for HIV epidemics, wherein each individual is represented by a node of the transmission network and the edges are the connections between individuals along which the infection may spread.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-08-29 Wen-Jie Bai , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng

This study presents an integrated approach to understanding epidemic dynamics through a stochastic spatio-temporal simulation model on a multiplex network, blending physical and informational layers. The physical layer maps the geographic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-26 H. M. Shadman Tabib , Jaber Ahmed Deedar , K. M. Ariful Kabir

Random network models play a prominent role in modeling, analyzing and understanding complex phenomena on real-life networks. However, a key property of networks is often neglected: many real-world networks exhibit spatial structure, the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-07 John Lang , Hans De Sterck , Jamieson L. Kaiser , Joel C. Miller

We combine a pedestrian dynamics model with a contact tracing method to simulate the initial spreading of a highly infectious airborne disease in a confined environment. We focus on a medium size population (up to 1000 people) with a small…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-22 Krithika Rathinakumar , Annalisa Quaini

To contain the propagation of emerging diseases that are transmissible from human to human, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) aimed at reducing the interactions between humans are usually implemented. One example of the latter kind of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-21 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

The study of how diseases spread has greatly benefited from advances in network modeling. Recently, a class of networks known as multilayer graphs has been shown to describe more accurately many real systems, making it possible to address…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-16 Xiangrong Wang , Alberto Aleta , Dan Lu , Yamir Moreno

In spite of the extensive previous efforts on traffic dynamics and epidemic spreading in complex networks, the problem of traffic-driven epidemic spreading on {\em correlated} networks has not been addressed. Interestingly, we find that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-22 Han-Xin Yang , Ming Tang , Ying-Cheng Lai