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Mechanistic network models specify the mechanisms by which networks grow and change, allowing researchers to investigate complex systems using both simulation and analytical techniques. Unfortunately, it is difficult to write likelihoods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We revisit the problem of parameter estimation for discrete probability distributions with values in $\mathbb{Z}^d$. To this end, we adapt a technique called Stein's Method of Moments to discrete distributions which often gives closed-form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Adrian Fischer

The Waxman random graph is a generalisation of the simple Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi or Gilbert random graph. It is useful for modelling physical networks where the increased cost of longer links means they are less likely to be built, and thus less…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-30 Matthew Roughan , Jonathan Tuke , Eric Parsonage

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

An important task in machine learning and statistics is the approximation of a probability measure by an empirical measure supported on a discrete point set. Stein Points are a class of algorithms for this task, which proceed by…

For parameter estimation of continuous and discrete distributions, we propose a generalization of the method of moments (MM), where Stein identities are utilized for improved estimation performance. The construction of these Stein-type…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-25 Simon Nik , Christian H. Weiß

Statistical inference for exponential-family models of random graphs with dependent edges is challenging. We stress the importance of additional structure and show that additional structure facilitates statistical inference. A simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Jonathan Stewart

This paper investigates maximum likelihood estimation for direct system identification in networks of dynamical systems. We establish that the proposed approach is both consistent and efficient. In addition, it is more generally applicable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-06 Anders Hansson , João Victor Galvão da Mata , Martin S. Andersen

An important task in computational statistics and machine learning is to approximate a posterior distribution $p(x)$ with an empirical measure supported on a set of representative points $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$. This paper focuses on methods…

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

The application of neural network models to scientific machine learning tasks has proliferated in recent years. In particular, neural network models have proved to be adept at modeling processes with spatial-temporal complexity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jeremiah Hauth , Cosmin Safta , Xun Huan , Ravi G. Patel , Reese E. Jones

Maximum likelihood estimators are proposed for the parameters and the densities in a semiparametric density ratio model in which the nonparametric baseline density is approximated by the Bernstein polynomial model. The EM algorithm is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Zhong Guan

We propose a nonparametric approach to link prediction in large-scale dynamic networks. Our model uses graph-based features of pairs of nodes as well as those of their local neighborhoods to predict whether those nodes will be linked at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-19 Purnamrita Sarkar , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Michael Jordan

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

This paper proposes a local representation for Empirical Likelihood (EL). EL admits the classical local linear quadratic representation by its likelihood ratio property. A local estimator is derived by using the new representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Zhengyuan Gao

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

(Neal and Hinton, 1998) recast maximum likelihood estimation of any given latent variable model as the minimization of a free energy functional $F$, and the EM algorithm as coordinate descent applied to $F$. Here, we explore alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Juan Kuntz , Jen Ning Lim , Adam M. Johansen

Traditionally, graph neural networks have been trained using a single observed graph. However, the observed graph represents only one possible realization. In many applications, the graph may encounter uncertainties, such as having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 See Hian Lee , Feng Ji , Kelin Xia , Wee Peng Tay

Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin theoretical statistics, Stein's method has led to…

We derive explicit central moment inequalities for random variables that admit a Stein coupling, such as exchangeable pairs, size--bias couplings or local dependence, among others. The bounds are in terms of moments (not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Yuting Wen