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Deep neural network ensembles are powerful tools for uncertainty quantification, which have recently been re-interpreted from a Bayesian perspective. However, current methods inadequately leverage second-order information of the loss…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Klemens Flöge , Mohammed Abdul Moeed , Vincent Fortuin

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

Topological metrics of graphs provide a natural way to describe the prominent features of various types of networks. Graph metrics describe the structure and interplay of graph edges and have found applications in many scientific fields. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-06-21 Loukianos Spyrou , Javier Escudero

The maximum likelihood threshold (MLT) of a graph $G$ is the minimum number of samples to almost surely guarantee existence of the maximum likelihood estimate in the corresponding Gaussian graphical model. We give a new characterization of…

Statistical analysis of social networks provides valuable insights into complex network interactions across various scientific disciplines. However, accurate modeling of networks remains challenging due to the heavy computational burden and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Helal El-Zaatari , Fei Yu , Michael R Kosorok

We study the parameter estimation problem for a varying index coefficient model in high dimensions. Unlike the most existing works that iteratively estimate the parameters and link functions, based on the generalized Stein's identity, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Sen Na , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Mladen Kolar

In this article we present a Bernstein inequality for sums of random variables which are defined on a graphical network whose nodes grow at an exponential rate. The inequality can be used to derive concentration inequalities in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Johannes T. N. Krebs

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

Exponential family Random Graph Models (ERGMs) can be viewed as expressing a probability distribution on graphs arising from the action of competing social forces that make ties more or less likely, depending on the state of the rest of the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Yue Yu , Gianmarc Grazioli , Nolan E. Phillips , Carter T. Butts

We develop a new sampling method to estimate eigenvector centrality on incomplete networks. Our goal is to estimate this global centrality measure having at disposal a limited amount of data. This is the case in many real-world scenarios…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-29 Nicolò Ruggeri , Caterina De Bacco

We study an approximation method of stationary characters of a two-dimensional Markov chain via the Stein method. For this purpose, innovative methods are developed to estimate the moments of the Markov chain, as well as the solution to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Yingdong Lu

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

We provide optimal rates of convergence to the asymptotic distribution of the (properly scaled) degree of a fixed vertex in two preferential attachment random graph models. Our approach is to show that these distributions are unique fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-15 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

The James-Stein estimator has attracted much interest as a shrinkage estimator that yields better estimates than the maximum likelihood estimator. The James-Stein estimator is also very useful as an argument in favor of empirical Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Yoshiko Hayashi

In this paper, we develop asymptotic theories for a class of latent variable models for large-scale multi-relational networks. In particular, we establish consistency results and asymptotic error bounds for the (penalized) maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Zhi Wang , Xueying Tang , Jingchen Liu

Preferential attachment is an appealing mechanism for modeling power-law behavior of the degree distributions in directed social networks. In this paper, we consider methods for fitting a 5-parameter linear preferential model to network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-29 Phyllis Wan , Tiandong Wang , Richard A. Davis , Sidney I. Resnick

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

Our work introduces an approach for estimating the contribution of attachment mechanisms to the formation of growing networks. We present a generic model in which growth is driven by the continuous attachment of new nodes according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Jan Medina , Jorge Finke , Camilo Rocha
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